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Angelo Magliocca
10-9 in Last 19 MLB Player Props Picks
MLB
TOR @ BAL • Sun 12:15pm
S. Miles
Pitcher Strikeouts
Picked: May 31 @ 8:04am
Analysis
Spencer Miles gets his second start in MLB level and this number is just rather low for a guy that’s likely to see around 70 pitches if not more today. While he’s been an opener or bulk reliever in the past, he is being stretched out to a full starter with all the injuries that have piled up, and he’s got strikeout stuff that will play. Miles’ last two appearances have both been 4.1 innings, with 63 and 66 pitches, and he’s hit 5,6 and 3 strikeouts when working at least 50 pitches. This number and price is more in line with of his previous shorter outings than a guy who should be pushed at least into the 5th inning if he’s going well.
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Eric Cohen
MLB
SD @ WAS • Sun 1:35pm
Picked: May 31 @ 11:49am
Analysis
The Griffin Canning experiment has not gone well for the Padres. At 0-3 with a 7.54 ERA, if things don’t turn around soon, I expect him to be demoted from his starting role. In the meantime, Nationals cleanup hitter, C.J. Abrams, is 4-for-8 lifetime against Canning with two doubles and a home run. Nearly half of Abrams’ hits have gone for extra bases, so I’ll look to capitalize on an advantageous matchup today.
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Matt Severance
11-3-1 in Last 15 MLB Game Props Picks
MLB
MIN @ PIT • Sun 1:35pm
First 5 Innings Total Runs
Picked: May 31 @ 12:33pm
Analysis
Hoping these clubs tired themselves out last night combining for 19 runs scored. Weather not a factor today (winds very slightly in) and two pitchers who have had success thus far in Zebby Matthews (2.37 ERA) and Braxton Ashcraft (2.75 ERA). The full-game total is 7.5 and I’d not go lower than 4.5. It’s our only 4.5 on the board and a tad pricy as you can see. Byron Buxton (team-leading 17 HR) is out for the Twins.
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Matt Severance
#1
66-27 in Last 93 MLB ML Picks
MLB
LAA @ TB • Sun 1:40pm
Picked: May 30 @ 10:02pm
Analysis
Rays to not bat bottom of nine is -135 at DraftKings and that’s a pretty good price (-1 works too) but in lieu of not having that option, I’ll eat this money line number. I suppose Tampa Bay was due one lousy home game as it had been so dominant at the Trop, and that certainly happened Saturday in a 14-3 loss. But it’s the end of a trip through the Eastern Time Zone for the Halos, who at a minimum are likely without SS Zach Neto after he left Saturday with an injury. Rays lefty Shane McClanahan has not allowed a single run in five of his past six outings. Counterpart Jack Kochanowicz has a 6.25 ERA on the road.
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Larry Hartstein
3-2 in Last 5 MLB ML Picks
Picked: May 31 @ 12:05am
Analysis
The Braves are 23-9 on the road, and I like their chances to sweep Cincinnati behind Spencer Strider. Atlanta has won all five of Strider’s starts this season. Reds lefty Nick Lodolo was solid last time out, but in his first three starts he surrendered 12 earned runs on four homers and nine walks. Strider also has been vulnerable to the long ball, but he’s been limiting baserunners (1.15 WHIP) to minimize the damage.
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