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Adam Thompson
MLB
NYM @ PIT • Sun 1:35pm
Picked: Aug 8 @ 10:04pm
Analysis
The Mets were blanked on Saturday, but had scored six-plus runs in four straight prior, and overall are hitting well. No so for the Pirates, who are 3-9 in their last 12 and have scored five runs once in the last 11. Jared Jones isn’t going deep into games for Pittsburgh. For the Mets, San Manaea has gone six innings in three straight, all quality starts, and the bullpen has a 1.82 ERA the last two weeks. Tasty plus odds on the road side.
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Adam Thompson
MLB
LAA @ MIA • Sun 1:40pm
Picked: Aug 8 @ 10:13pm
Analysis
Marlins pitcher Ryan Gusto limited the Braves to one run over six innings last time out. No team has hit worse over the last two weeks than the Angels, whose .587 OPS off right-handers in that span also ranks 30th. The Marlins’ bats scored seven runs on Saturday, breaking out of a five-game offensive slump. They can keep it going here vs. Grayson Rodriguez, who has a 7.44 ERA on the season, 7.24 in 11 day games.
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Micah Roberts
3-2 in Last 5 SJST ATS Picks
NCAAF
SJST @ USC • Sat 3:00pm
Picked: Aug 6 @ 3:14pm
Analysis
San Jose State went 3-9 last year, with the worst performances in their last three games. Coach Ken Niumatalolo only had two starters return, and they’re both offensive linemen. Now he’s got to face a USC team in the opener that is loaded this season, with nine starters back on offense, including senior quarterback Jayden Maiava, and five on defense. They have all five starters on the offensive line returning, and that’s the biggest component I look at in these opening games. The cohesion is gonna be there, and apparently the boosters money is also there, as they had the No. 1 recruiting class in college football. I think USC could be the next Indiana this year. USC shows off for the nation.
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Thomas Casale
NCAAF
NCST @ UVA • Sat 3:30pm
Picked: Aug 5 @ 11:16pm
Analysis
This game was moved from Brazil to Virginia, and the line jumped 2 points. I think that’s a bit of an overreaction. I have these teams rated pretty close, and UVA doesn’t have a huge home-field edge. I also think the Cavs are a bit overvalued coming off a 11-3 season. NC State is replacing a lot of production, but I think the Wolfpack have a more talented roster and are an interesting team in the ACC. Also, keep an eye on NC State QB CJ Bailey. He closed last season strong and could take a big step forward as a junior. I see this game going down to the wire, so I’ll take the 5.5.
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Matt Severance
NCAAF
MEMP @ UNLV • Sat 10:00pm
Picked: Jul 24 @ 5:55pm
Analysis
Did you really think I would not be first on college football? I own this sport. It’s a big number so I go two units (I think should be -240ish). Obviously a risk doing it a month-plus before kickoff, but UNLV has a shot to be the best non-power school in the country under Dan Mullen, while Memphis lost its head coach and most good players to Arkansas. Whomever wants to move from Memphis to Arkansas needs to have their heads examined, but money talks holmes.
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