Dricus du Plessis and Sean Strickland are prepared for Spherical 2.
UFC 312 takes place this Saturday at Qudos Financial institution Area in Sydney, headlined by a middleweight title rematch between du Plessis and Strickland. Plus, the co-main occasion is a strawweight title bout between longtime champion Zhang Weili and the undefeated Tatiana Suarez. The remainder of the cardboard is — properly, it isn’t nice, however the high two fights are elite and the remainder of them nonetheless have loads of alternative to get some cash down and have some enjoyable on Saturday night time, so let’s focus on.
All odds are courtesy of our associates at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Photograph by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC through Getty Photographs
Single Performs
Tatiana Suarez (-118)
I’ve lengthy believed Suarez is a foul matchup for Zhang Weili. Whereas Zhang is well-rounded and an awesome athlete, Suarez brings a physicality and targeted grappling sport that’s going to be arduous for Zhang to handle. Rose Namajunas scored repeated takedowns on Zhang and he or she’s not practically the wrestler Suarez is. I feel Suarez ought to be capable to get this to the ground and as soon as there, she’s much more harmful within the grappling exchanges. Add in that Zhang is 35 years outdated (principally nobody stays champion within the decrease weight courses at that age) and I like Suarez quite a bit this weekend.
Tom Nolan (-104)
Nolan takes on Viacheslav Borshchev in a light-weight prelim bout on Saturday and it ought to shock nobody that I’m backing him. Nolan was my favourite prospect coming off Season 7 of Contender Series and whereas I might revise these rankings a bit now, I’m nonetheless excessive on his potential. Nolan is a big light-weight with nice ending instincts and strong total expertise. His subject is in athleticism and “Slava Claus” shouldn’t actually huge an enormous downside in that regard. Nolan can compete on the ft and may take this to the ground if want be.
Colby Thicknesse (+285)
Thicknesse takes on Aleksandre Topuria on Saturday in an early prelim bout and this guess is totally a fade on Topuria. Topuria could also be a proficient fighter, however the fact is we do not know. He’s competed sparingly over the previous few years and all of his fights have come in opposition to dreadful opposition. If his title had been Steve Williams as an alternative of Topuria, he wouldn’t be right here, so provided that, he shouldn’t be this huge of a favourite both. Thicknesse is a proficient prospect in his personal proper and must be getting extra respect than this.
Photograph by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC
Prop Bets
Dricus du Plessis by Factors (+175)
Honest warning, I used to be horrible on prop bets final yr, a lot in order that I ended doing them, however we’re going to attempt once more this weekend as a result of there are a number of I like. I’ve a full breakdown on this battle coming, however the quick model is that I consider it is going to be similar to the primary encounter besides Strickland will battle the identical and du Plessis could have a number of new instruments in his bag, that means a extra decisive determination for “DDP” on Saturday.
Wang Cong by KO/TKO (+240)
Wang faces Bruna Brasil in a prelim bout and although she was simply on the dangerous finish of one of many greatest upsets in UFC betting historical past, I’m not fading her this week. Earlier than she unexpectedly obtained dropped and tapped, Wang was cruising in opposition to Gabriella Fernandes, and everyone knows this can be a sport the place loopy issues occur. The actual fact stays that Wang has good defensive wrestling and bonafide energy at flyweight, and three of Brasil’s 4 profession losses have been by KO/TKO.
Kody Steele by Submission (+380)
Steele makes his UFC debut on the early prelims in opposition to Rongzhu and I’m predicting a giant night time for him. Steele is a good prospect coming off the most recent Contender Series season and extra importantly, he’s an awesome grappler. 4 of Rongzhu’s six profession losses have come by means of submission so we’re getting an awesome value on a really real looking final result.
Photograph by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC
Parlay
At this level you in all probability already know that there are few issues I like greater than a gimmick parlay, and whereas there’s an apparent Brother Parlay obtainable with Topuria and Justin Tafa, that’s not the one for me this week. As an alternative, UFC 312 options 4 fighters I graded as Round 2 prospects from the most recent season of Contender Series, so I’m teaming the three favorites collectively (Jonathan Micallef has a troublesome battle in opposition to Kevin Jousset, and I’m a coward, sue me).
Tallison Teixeira (-146)
Texieria makes his UFC debut in opposition to Justin Tafa within the featured predominant card battle and whereas there’s no world wherein he must be positioned that prime, Teixeira is a legitimately attention-grabbing prospect. He has a large body and he’s undefeated and younger, all of which screams potential at heavyweight, plus he’s obtained fairly polished expertise already. He’s nonetheless obtained some rising to do however Teixeira is comically bigger than Tafa and may get the win.
Kody Steele (-260)
I’m doubling up on Steele however that’s how a lot I like this child. The one purpose Steele didn’t grade out as a Spherical 1 prospect is as a result of he turns 30 in a few months and that’s outdated to be simply beginning out, particularly in a shark tank like light-weight. If Steele had been youthful he would have been one of many high prospects final season and I nonetheless count on him to make some noise within the UFC.
Quillan Salkilld (-650)
Salkilld takes on Anshul Jubli in an early prelim battle and he’s a large favourite for a purpose. Jubli isn’t particularly dazzling and Salkilld is a really strong prospect. He’s unbeaten since shedding his debut, has an intensive newbie background, has fought actual opposition, and has well-rounded expertise and strong athleticism. The previous Everlasting MMA champion has a vibrant future within the UFC and it begins on Saturday.
Parlay these three bets collectively for +169 odds.
Wrap Up
Been a gradual begin to the yr for us however for as dangerous as this card could be on paper, loads of betting alternatives. Hopefully we get issues entering into the appropriate route.
Till subsequent week, benefit from the fights, good luck, and gamble responsibly!
All data on this article is supplied to readers of MMA Preventing for leisure, information, and amusement functions solely. It’s the accountability of the reader to be taught and abide by on-line playing legal guidelines of their area earlier than putting any on-line sports activities betting wagers.