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Adam Thompson
7-6-1 in Last 14 MLB Game Props Picks
MLB
ATL @ CHC • Mon 7:40pm
First 5 Innings Moneyline
Picked: Sep 14 @ 9:17am
Analysis
David Peterson has been inconsistent since being traded to the Cubs in late June. In two September starts, both vs. the Brewers, he allowed six runs over 3.2 IP in the first and one run over 4.1 in the second. The Braves can hit the ball, but over the last two weeks their .535 OPS vs. left-handers ranks only above the Twins and Royals. Chicago has scored fewer than four runs just once since Aug. 26. Braves RHP Reynaldo Lopez has given up 4+ runs in three of his last four starts, none of which lasted six innings. A half-unit play.
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Adam Thompson
#3
34-16 in Last 50 MLB Picks
MLB
NYY @ MIN • Mon 7:40pm
Picked: Sep 14 @ 9:23am
Analysis
The Yankees may be finding their groove and can keep it up here vs. Dean Kremer, who’s given up 18 runs over his last 23.1 IP (five starts) and a Twins bullpen with a 5.02 ERA since Sept. 1. On the flip side, Will Warren has allowed four runs over his last 20.1 IP. Warren and the bullpen with the second-best ERA in baseball can limit a Twins lineup averaging 2.6 rpg the last five games, with four or fewer run in each.
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Thomas Casale
NFL
DEN @ KC • Mon 8:15pm
Picked: Aug 12 @ 8:17pm
Analysis
All the talk is about Patrick Mahomes returning for Week 1 but I’m more interested in the big uglies. I expect the Broncos to dominate this game in the trenches. Denver has my top-rated offensive line entering the season. Meanwhile, the Chiefs could start undrafted Kahlil Benson at right tackle. Benson may end up being a good player but an undrafted free agent protecting a QB coming off an ACL injury in Week 1 isn’t ideal. I give Denver’s vaunted pass rush a big edge in this matchup and expect a lower-scoring game. I’ll grab the +3 now in case the number goes down closer to kickoff.
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Adam Thompson
NFL
DEN @ KC • Mon 8:15pm
Picked: Sep 7 @ 11:35am
Analysis
The Broncos went from 10-7 in Bo Nix’s rookie year to 14-3 last season, losing in the AFC Championship. This team looks to be in a spot to take another step, and what an opportunity against the perennial powerhouse Chiefs in KC. Patrick Mahomes is coming off his major knee injury and didn’t play a single minute in preseason, and a revamped defensive backfield may take time. There are no such glaring issues for Denver going into Week 1.
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R.J. White
#2
11-6-1 in Last 18 NFL Picks
Picked: Sep 8 @ 10:03am
Analysis
Patrick Mahomes seems on track to play in Week 1, and even if he’s 100% healthy, I like this number for Denver. The Broncos have the edge in the trenches on both sides of the ball, and the Josh Simmons injury could be a problem for Mahomes in the passing game. The Broncos upgraded their passing attack with Jaylen Waddle, which will be an early test for Kansas City’s rebuilt CB room. Bottom line: I think the Broncos are the better team, particularly in Week 1, and the Chiefs shouldn’t get 3 points for home-field advantage, so there’s nice value here.
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