The ultimate UFC occasion of 2024 is upon us!
This Saturday at Amalie Area, UFC Tampa goes down, headlined by a welterweight showdown between former interim champion Colby Covington and the surging Joaquin Buckley. It’s a giant occasion as fighters make the stroll for the ultimate time in 2024, so let’s bounce proper into the bets.
All odds are courtesy of our buddies at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Single Performs
Billy Quarantillo (-162)
The co-main occasion sees Quarantillo tackle featherweight legend Cub Swanson, and Quarantillo is coming off a loss, Swanson merely doesn’t have it any extra. Swanson is 41 years previous, which is damn-near prehistoric by way of the 145-pound division. Credit score to “Killer Cub” for proceed to compete however “Billy Q” is simply in a greater place to outwork him on this one. Add in that Quarantillo is preventing in entrance of his dwelling crowd and this can be a simple wager.
Adrian Yanez (+176)
Yanez takes on Daniel Marcos in a principal card matchup, and whereas Marcos stays undefeated, he shouldn’t be the favourite on this one. Roughly 18 months in the past Yanez was the subsequent massive factor at bantamweight, till back-to-back losses in opposition to Rob Font and Jonathan Martinez ended his hype. However shedding to top-15 opposition isn’t that little bit of a black mark and Yanez remains to be the much more gifted fighter. In a straight-up hanging match, which this will likely be, I feel Yanez has the superior boxing and can get his hand raised.
Prop Bets
Joaquin Buckley by KO/TKO (+165)
Merely put, I’m fading Colby Covington right here.
Covington turns 37 in February and his final two fights, he’s regarded horrible. “Chaos” nonetheless has nice cardio and the mentality to maintain coming for 25 minutes, however he seems to be in clear decline. The ghost of Jorge Masvidal had moments in opposition to him, and whereas I don’t fairly know what Buckley’s ceiling is at 170 kilos, he packs sufficient energy and physicality to place it on a near-washed Covington. If this had been solely three rounds, I would give Covington extra of an opportunity to outlive, however 25 minutes in opposition to a man who hits like Buckley looks like it’s going to finish a technique.
Joel Alvarez by KO/TKO or Submission (-160)
I LOVE me some Joel Alvarez. “El Fenomeno” is proof of simply how laborious it may be to achieve traction within the light-weight division. The person is 6-2 within the UFC, all his wins are by end, and he solely misplaced his debut (in opposition to Damir Ismagulov!) and to Arman Tsarukyan. In another weight class, Alvarez can be ranked, however at light-weight, he’s nonetheless working his option to the numbers.
Alvarez is an all-offense ending machine and whereas Drakkar Klose is an excellent fighter (actually, has been in the identical top-25-but-not-top-15 zone for awhile now) he’s getting slightly older and vulnerable to the potent hanging of Alvarez.
Parlay
It’s the ultimate occasion of the 12 months so we’d as properly put in a parlay. No gimmicks this week, simply three fighters I like and who I feel will win.
Manel Kape (-355)
Kape takes on Bruno Silva within the featured principal card bout and whereas Silva is surging (4 wins in a row, 4 bonuses) Kape is an effective sufficient wrestler to maintain issues standing, and he has a marked benefit on the toes. Plus, Kape is preventing to sneak his method right into a title shot. “Starboy” will deliver his finest.
Vitor Petrino (-325)
Petrino takes on Dustin Jacoby in a principal card gentle heavyweight contest and I like his odds to rebound from his first profession defeat. Petrino in all probability would have walloped Anthony Smith however he received caught in a guillotine, and that’s probably not in Jacoby’s bag. Petrino ought to rating loads of takedowns in opposition to the previous Glory kickboxer and end this on the ground.
Navajo Stirling (-750)
Laying odds like these on someone making their UFC debut isn’t normally a wise factor, however In Stirling’s case I’ll make an exception. Stirling hails from Metropolis Kickboxing and he’s the rarest factor in MMA: a reputable gentle heavyweight prospect. Man is already tremendous polished and jogs my memory a little bit of a 205-pound Rory MacDonald. He ought to roll thought Tuco Tokkos.
Parlay these two bets collectively for -112 odds.
Wrap Up
We ended up a small loser last week, however solely as a result of the judges stole Alexander Volkov’s rightful win from us. Alas. Remaining combat card of the 12 months, let’s 2024 finish on a constructive notice.
Till subsequent week, benefit from the fights, good luck, and gamble responsibly!
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