Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?


UFC 286: Fast picks and prognostications

March 17, 2023 1:50 pm ET MMA Junkie analyst Dan Tom breaks down the UFC’s top bouts. Today, we look at the main card for UFC 286. UFC 286 takes place Saturday at The O2 in London. The main card airs on pay-per-view following prelims on ESPNews and early prelims on ESPN+. Last event’s results:

UFC 286: Fast picks and prognostications

MMA Junkie analyst Dan Tom breaks down the UFC’s high bouts. Right this moment, we take a look at the principle card for UFC 286.

UFC 286 takes place Saturday at The O2 in London. The primary card airs on pay-per-view following prelims on ESPNews and early prelims on ESPN+.

Final occasion’s outcomes: 5-1
General picks for UFC major playing cards in 2023: 21-17-2

Welcome to MMAJunkie’s Fast Picks and Prognostications, the place I’ll be giving temporary breakdowns for UFC major playing cards.

I hope these write-ups don’t come off as curt or dismissive. My aim right here is to supply fast picks and evaluation in a digestible format. All odds listed are supplied by Tipico Sportsbook.

Advertisement. Scroll to continue reading.

Should you’d like extra detailed evaluation from me, then be happy to take a look at my weekly present, The Protect Ya’ Neck Podcast.

So, with out additional ado …

Marvin Vettori (-275) vs. Roman Dolidze (+210)

Marvin Vettori

Regardless of former matchmaker Joe Silva’s bulletproof strategy of reserving light-weight or featherweight fights to kick off pay-per-views, the present UFC matchmakers are as soon as once more wanting towards the middleweights to get this get together began.

Marvin Vettori, who’s trying to bounce again from a troublesome loss to Robert Whittaker, will tackle the Georgian wildman, Roman Dolidze.

Dolidze is a harmful submission fighter with knockout energy in tow, however Vettori is about as unkillable as Blagoy Ivanov.

I’ll take Vettori to take a grinding determination after surviving a bizarre first spherical.

Advertisement. Scroll to continue reading.

Casey O’Neill (-185) vs. Jenifer Maia (+150)

Casey O’Neill

Filling out the principle card is an attention-grabbing flyweight matchup between Casey O’Neill and Jenifer Maia.

O’Neill shall be making her return off of a one-year layoff attributable to damage, whereas Maia shall be trying to shield her top-10 rating and maybe make one other run towards to high of the division.

Though my admitted Xtreme Couture bias has me leaning towards Casey, Maia’s counter boxing and clinch recreation make her a stay canine on this spot. That mentioned, I’ll nonetheless facet with O’Neill’s output and aggression to win the day in what I think about shall be a aggressive combat from begin to end.

Gunnar Nelson (-375) vs. Bryan Barberena (+280)

Bryan Barberena

Quietly serving as one of many higher choices on the cardboard is an impromptu welterweight encounter between Gunnar Nelson and Bryan Barberena.

Regardless of Barberena’s final loss leaving a foul style in mouths whereas concurrently offering a possible blueprint for Nelson, I believe this combat might be deceptively nearer than the chances are indicating.

Advertisement. Scroll to continue reading.

Barberena often is significantly better about utilizing the cage together with wrist controls to face, and the American additionally gives punishing elbows which have traditionally wreaked havoc on Nelson.

Don’t get me unsuitable: Nelson is the deserved favourite and nobody needs to be shocked if he’s capable of get to his recreation early on on this combat. That mentioned, if Nelson fails to complete by the center of the second spherical, then that most likely means one thing went unsuitable for the 34-year-old.

It’s a dangerous choose, however I’ll journey with the underdog in Barberena to come back up massive with an upset stoppage within the third spherical.

Justin Gaethje (+190) vs. Rafael Fiziev (-240)

Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev

The co-main occasion for UFC 286 is a implausible light-weight showdown between Justin Gaethje and Rafael Fiziev.

Despite the fact that seeing Gaethje as an underdog in a putting matchup could shock some, most individuals within the know received’t be shocked to see Fiziev as the favourite on this spot.

Gaethje has made some marked enhancements beneath the tutelage of Trevor Wittman, however I believe his body-shot vulnerabilities and propensity to dip laborious to his proper facet will damage him on this matchup.

Advertisement. Scroll to continue reading.

Not solely does Fiziev punctuate combos with brutal swap kicks to the physique, however the Tiger Muay Thai product additionally has been preventing extra out of southpaw of late.

The choose is for Fiziev to knock Gaethje out with both a head kick or liver kick within the first spherical.

Leon Edwards (+200) vs. Kamaru Usman (-250)

Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman

The primary occasion in London incorporates a rubber match for the welterweight title between Leon Edwards and Kamaru Usman.

As I mentioned in my in-depth breakdown, the final assembly between these two was much more aggressive than many appear to recollect.

🪡🧵#TheSouthpawReport for #UFC286: (will add to this thread because the week goes on)

• Kamaru Usman is 6-1 in opposition to UFC-level southpaws (wins: Yakovlev, Edwards, Maia, RDA, Covington X2; loss: Edwards rematch)

Edwards constructed on traditional SP assaults en path to discovering a late end:

Advertisement. Scroll to continue reading.

— Dan Tom (@DanTomMMA) March 15, 2023

Not solely did Edwards construct off of traditional southpaw assaults en path to discovering a late end, however the English fighter additionally quietly received all of the clinch eventualities that befell from an over-under place.

If Edwards could make some wanted corrections to his cage positioning, then nobody needs to be shocked if he’s capable of make issues much more aggressive this time round.

Usman is a good fighter who deserves distinction as the favourite, I simply have a tough time understanding the place he’s at after sustaining a doubtlessly life-changing knockout at this stage of his profession.

Despite the fact that a dominant Usman win wouldn’t shock me, I’m selecting Edwards to retain his title by one other semi-controversial determination for the file books.

For extra on the cardboard, go to MMA Junkie’s occasion hub for UFC 286.

Gannett could earn income from Tipico for viewers referrals to betting companies. Tipico has no affect over nor are any such revenues in any approach depending on or linked to the newsrooms or information protection. See for Phrases and Situations. 21+ solely. Playing drawback? Name 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

Advertisement. Scroll to continue reading.

Read More

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *


You May Also Like


Everything you need to dominate your draft in one place By CBS Interactive staff Mar 17, 2023 at 11:56 pm ET • 2 min...


The UK government has pledged to invest £2.5bn in quantum computing over the next 10 years, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt announced today. The programme forms...


The lightweight adventure bikes category looks like to dominate the market. KTM 890 Adventure R is one of the coolest of this category. The...

American Football

Shane Steichen, Jim Irsay, Indianapolis Colts. (The Indianapolis Star) The Indianapolis Colts are in desperate need of a quarterback, and they brought in an...


The Dallas Mavericks (35-35) will try to get back above the .500 mark when they face the Los Angeles Lakers (34-36) on Friday night. Dallas snapped...


Erin WalshMarch 8, 2023John McDonnell/The Washington Post via Getty ImagesNFL owners discussed the potential sale of the Washington Commanders during committee meetings this week...


Since LIV Golf enters the storyline of golf, things have changed drastically. Many golfers left PGA Tour and joined the Saudi-backed circuit, despite scrutiny....


Summary: OPNX will list its native exchange token FLEX on Seychelles-based crypto exchange MEXC Global.FLEX was announced as the exchange token for the new...


Clinical Challenges > AAD: Atopic Dermatitis — Updated AAD guidelines for relieving itch, inflammation, and reducing flares by Mark L. Fuerst, Contributing Writer, MedPage...


From pandemic recovery grant programs to small communities, large companies, and even a single individual, there are a number of grants up for grabs...


March 11, 2023 11:29 pm ET LAS VEGAS – Merab Dvalishvili wants a title shot, but he’ll decline if offered. It’s an unusual predicament,...


Doric SamJanuary 31, 2023Alex Bierens de Haan/Getty Images2023 Royal Rumble winner Rhea Ripley made her choice for her WrestleMania 39 opponent on this week's...


It was a day years in the making for honoring the Florida State legacy of Buster Posey.The former FSU baseball star and three-time World...