UFC 283 Playing Preview: How will Glover Teixeira, Deiveson Figueiredo and different Brazilian fighters fare in UFC return?

For the primary time in almost three years, the UFC is again in Brazil!

This weekend in Rio de Janeiro, the UFC returns with its first pay-per-view occasion of 2023, UFC 283, headlined by a vacant mild heavyweight title between Glover Teixeira and Jamahal Hill, with flyweight tetralogy between Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno within the co-main occasion. On high of that, there are 13 different fights on the cardboard, that includes 15 Brazilians, which implies issues are lining as much as be a good time on Saturday. So with out additional ado, let’s get into the bets.

As at all times, all odds are courtesy of our mates at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Straight Bets

Brandon Moreno, -125

I felt good about this wager earlier than struggle week, and as this struggle has gotten nearer, I’m solely feeling higher about it. Listed below are the information:

Moreno and Figueiredo have fought thrice earlier than. The primary one, Figueiredo acquired the higher of him, however a foul resulted in a draw. Within the rematch, Moreno took Figgy to highschool. Then within the third one, Figueiredo made some changes and edged out a victory he perhaps didn’t deserve upon the rewatch. That’s to be recommended, nevertheless it’s powerful to examine Figueiredo, at 35, pulling out any extra new wrinkles for this one. Moreno can match Figgy wherever the struggle goes, and now, Figgy is one yr older, one yr slower, and has proven him the complete arsenal. Add to that Moreno has acquired some area from the rivalry to regroup with the Kai Kara-France win, and that Figueiredo appears to be on Death’s doorstep two days earlier than he even has to make weight, and I really like Moreno’s possibilities to reclaim the undisputed flyweight title.

Mauricio Rua, +175

Name me a homer, and also you won’t be fallacious, however I don’t care. That is the ultimate trip of Shogun, and I’ll be damned if I’m not going to be cheering for the completely happy ending. In an ideal world, he turns again the clock to 2005 and delivers a classic knockout to trip off into the sundown on. However actually, any approach he will get the win is alright by me.

If you happen to want extra motive to again Shogun this weekend, just give this a listen.

Prop Bets

Glover Teixeira by Submission, +250

I wrote a deeper breakdown on this struggle which you can learn right here, so I received’t get into a lot element past saying that this can be a nice struggle for Teixeira. Hill just isn’t an ideal defensive wrestler, and he’s not the sort of hyper-athlete that has given Teixeira issues earlier than. This ought to be a traditional Glover smothering.

Jessica Andrade/Lauren Murphy Over 2.5 Rounds, -120

Andrade is without doubt one of the finest finishers in all of ladies’s MMA, however towards Murphy, she’s going through somebody more durable than a $2 steak. Murphy has solely been completed as soon as in her profession, and that was by Valentina Shevchenko within the fourth spherical of their title struggle. Andrade most likely wins, however she’s going to should work for it.

Lauren Murphy by Determination, +650

Talking of Andrade most likely profitable, that’s no assure. Andrade is the extra athletic, dynamic, and expert fighter to make sure. However Murphy is an absolute unit, and that sort of fighter has given Andrade issues previously. Nearly each one among Andrade’s losses have come from fighters who can match her physicality, be it her run at bantamweight or Weili Zhang, and Murphy is a kind of sorts of fighters. Andrade goes to be quicker and hit tougher, however Murphy goes to be there each step of the best way, and at these odds, I’m taking a flier on her to drag of a significant upset.

Neil Magny by Determination, +600

In that very same vein, I’m additionally backing Neil Magny over Gilbert Burns. Once more, Burns is the higher fighter, extra dynamic, extra highly effective and athletic, and extra expert besides. However the bodily disparity on this struggle is gigantic, with Magny 5 inches taller and proudly owning a 9-inch attain benefit. That’s a variety of floor to make up on the toes, and although Burns is an incredible grappler, he’s not the very best wrestler. There’s a world the place a lot of this struggle takes place within the clinch, a spot the place Magny is sneaky good, specific together with his size benefit there. Selecting straight up, I favor Burns, however Magny could make this a struggle and these are large, large odds.

On an extra notice, whereas I don’t condone parlaying underdogs (as a result of it’s dumb), should you have been searching for an extra Lengthy Shot wager, parlay Magny by resolution and Murphy by resolution pays out at a whopping +5150.

Parlay of the Week

This parlay was a easy one: I took the largest Brazilian favorites on the cardboard that I don’t have already got a wager down on (or towards) and tied all of them collectively.

Gregory Rodrigues, -300

In all probability my least assured leg of the parlay, not as a result of Rodrigues is dangerous, however as a result of the person prioritizes leisure over struggle IQ. Nonetheless, “Robocop” has confirmed to be extraordinarily harmful and intensely sturdy, and he ought to get Brunno Ferreira out of there.

Thiago Moises, -380

One of many extra peculiar traces on the cardboard. Moises is a legitimately nice light-weight who has solely ever misplaced to top-tier competitors. In the meantime, Melquizael Costa is coming in on quick discover and misplaced simply eight months in the past in LFA. Moises ought to roll.

Jailton Almeida, -975

The phrase is out on Almeida. We aren’t prone to get anymore -500 traces with probably the most thrilling rising stars within the sport, even for a step up in competitors like Shamil Abdurakhimov. Nonetheless, the person goes to do what he at all times does: win in dominant style.

Josiane Nunes, -540

Nunes is without doubt one of the solely girls’s bantamweight prospects to have emerged lately (despite the fact that this can be a featherweight struggle) and whereas she’s not nice, she is nice, and she or he does hit laborious. That’s greater than will be stated for Zarah Fairn, who is solely not a UFC-caliber fighter.

The ‘Uh Vai Morrer” Parlay pays out at +120 odds.

Lengthy Shot of the Week

As said above, I feel Brandon Moreno is about to have the very best efficiency of his profession and put this rivalry with Deiveson Figueiredo to mattress, as soon as and for all. I’m not solely certain how he does it, with a knockout or a submission, however what I’m certain about is that he does it within the fourth spherical. In spite of everything, Moreno himself said he envisions a fourth-round finish, and who am I to name the person a liar?

Brandon Moreno to win in Spherical 4, +2200

Wrap Up

Not the very best begin to 2023 as we finished slightly down last week attributable to our Lengthy Shot not even coming near hitting. However I really feel fairly good about this Saturday, so let’s get again on observe.

Let me know what y’all are betting within the feedback. Good luck, and gamble responsibly!

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