Within the October, 1996 concern of Filth Bike, Roger DeCoster talked concerning the future in a narrative known as “Motocross Bike: 2000 A.D. It’s kinda enjoyable to look again at what he noticed coming.
What’s going to motocross bikes appear like within the yr 2000? Should you had requested that query in 1980, you’ll have had some very imaginative solutions:
• The gasoline tank could be mounted underneath the engine.
• The entrance fork would have linkage, just like the rear suspension.
• Coil-springs could be eradicated, changed by pneumatics, elastomers or torsion bars.
• Laptop chips would alter the jetting, the ignition and the port timing based on want.
• The four-stroke could be fully gone, and different engine configurations could be threatening the two-stroke.
• The increase bottle, BASS mechanism and ATAC valve can be developed to their full potential.
Properly, now the twenty first century is lower than 4 years away (or three motocross fashions), so we’re shut sufficient to peek into the subsequent millennia and truly get a glimpse of what we can be using. How a lot development can are available 4 years? Take a look at what’s occurred within the final 4 years. You can estimate that the ’00 mannequin can be as totally different from as we speak’s bikes as a ’96 is in comparison with a ’92 mannequin. In different phrases, not a lot.
For instance, take a look at Jeremy McGrath’s bikes. He has chosen to maintain using his ’93-based CR250. Certain, they’ve made some small adjustments, nevertheless it’s nonetheless based mostly on a three-year-old machine, and he continues to interrupt information. The stunning half is that this bike wasn’t even designed for Jeremy–on the time he was using within the 125 class. Did it simply occur to suit his fashion or did he adapt to it? We would by no means know, however staying on the identical bike yr after yr has been one in all Jeremy’s smartest strikes. He is aware of precisely what the machine will do in any scenario he encounters. His competitors has needed to adapt to 4 totally different machines in the identical time interval.
So don’t anticipate the motorbike to be reinvented between now and the beginning of the subsequent century. For us hardcore fanatics who love new expertise and trick, machined aluminum elements, it’s laborious to simply accept that the winningest motocrosser on earth rides a used bike, however that’s essentially true.
So what has occurred for the reason that early ‘80s? Aren’t as we speak’s engineers as sensible as those who made the massive enhancements again then? Main technological steps is usually a double-edged sword. New expertise and more and more refined designs price increasingly more to provide and grow to be more and more intricate to keep up. Costs have now reached the purpose the place the market simply can’t assist huge adjustments because it did ten years in the past. Tricker bikes imply larger costs, larger costs imply fewer patrons, fewer patrons imply a shrinking sport, and none of us need that. For an instance of a sport that grew too quick, take a look at the game ATV market. When gross sales figures for three-wheelers shot up nearly in a single day, the producers, logically, responded. Know-how additionally elevated at a fast fee. Nevertheless, the explanation ATVs had been interesting was as a result of they had been unintimidating and simple to experience. All of a sudden the machines had been able to going a lot sooner, however nothing stated the riders had magically grow to be extra succesful. The tip end result was a fast improve in damage statistics, and that, in flip, attracted attorneys, lawsuits, dangerous publicity and authorities regulation. Your entire trade got here crashing down in a single day.
When Roger wrote this, the rumors of Yamaha’s new four-stroke motocross bike had been simply rumors. Picture by Ron Lawson.
I’m definitely not saying that this could occur to the MX bike market, or that technological development is dangerous, however for the general well being of the game, it’s higher that our tools develop at a sustainable tempo and that we at all times have a good suggestion of the place we’re heading. The common rider can nonetheless afford and preserve his personal bike. He doesn’t need to wrench on his bike for hours earlier than every experience, looking out by technical manuals and combating issues. The gradual tempo of current years has given us essentially the most dependable bikes ever–proper now, the typical particular person spends extra time making an attempt to work bugs out of his private laptop than making an attempt to type out his motorbike.
Nevertheless, some adjustments will definitely come within the subsequent few years. Honda’s ’97
aluminum perimeter body is definitely a courageous design. It’s well-known that Honda has struggled with chassis efficiency for fairly just a few years, however when that firm decides to noticeably deal with a brand new thought, it should persist till the entire issues have been solved. Whether or not or not the aluminum body is a bonus on the monitor stays to be seen. If it seems to be a gross sales hit, then the opposite producers will definitely observe, and costs can be elevated.

So we in all probability will see extra aluminum frames earlier than the millennium, regardless that the benefits are unclear. As producers play with the thought, although, extra can be realized. We are going to see extra “sensible” ignition units. Laptop expertise has come a good distance in recent times and we’re simply now studying the right way to use this to our benefit within the dirt-bike world. Then there’s the wild card of presidency regulation. The traditional two-stroke nonetheless has a whole lot of years left in it, particularly for motocross use, however someplace down the street, the federal government will begin to squeeze us, too. Then designs like Honda’s EXP-2 will come into the image. Who is aware of? With the rise in consideration and improvement, we would learn to make these engines work even higher than our present ones.
As for the yr 2000, don’t anticipate front-wheel drive or engines that run on banana peels. Count on the handlebars and seats to be in the identical outdated locations–and anticipate races to nonetheless be gained by the riders who shut off later within the first flip, fly sooner off the jumps and use taller gears.