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Rating Potential First-Time MVP Candidates for the 2024 NFL Season

Maurice Moton @@MoeMoton Contributor I May 12, 2024 Ranking Potential First-Time MVP Candidates for the 2024 NFL Season 0 of 10 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy Michael Owens/Getty Images In order to win NFL MVP, a player must produce at a high level on one of the best teams, though as recent history shows, quarterbacks usually

Maurice Moton @@MoeMoton Contributor I May 12, 2024 Ranking Potential First-Time MVP Candidates for the 2024 NFL Season 0 of 10 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy Michael Owens/Getty Images In order to win NFL MVP, a player must produce at a high level on one of the best teams, though as recent history shows, quarterbacks usually

Maurice LogoContributor ICould 12, 2024

Rating Potential First-Time MVP Candidates for the 2024 NFL Season

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    49ers quarterback Brock Purdy

    49ers quarterback Brock PurdyMichael Owens/Getty Photos

    With a purpose to win NFL MVP, a participant should produce at a excessive degree on among the finest groups, although as current historical past reveals, quarterbacks normally get the distinction.

    Yearly since 2013, a quarterback has gained league MVP. Working again Adrian Peterson was the final ability participant to win the award. A large receiver has by no means earned the achievement.

    Despite the fact that quarterbacks have dominated the MVP dialogue, elite ability gamers deserve point out as viable candidates and rookie signal-callers have an opportunity to do one thing just one different award-winner has achieved in NFL historical past.

    With that in thoughts, we ranked our top-10 potential first-time MVP candidates for the 2024 season.

10. Caleb Williams, QB, Chicago Bears

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    LAKE FOREST, ILLINOIS - MAY 10: Caleb Williams #18 of the Chicago Bears throws a pass during Chicago Bears Rookie Minicamp at Halas Hall on May 10, 2024 in Lake Forest, Illinois.  (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)

    Michael Reaves/Getty Photos

    Coming in at No. 10, Caleb Williams is a long-shot candidate, however he might be the primary rookie to win the award since late Corridor of Famer Jim Brown in 1957.

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    The Chicago Bears chosen Williams with the No. 1 general decide, and he is in a perfect scenario for a younger quarterback.

    The Bears have continuity throughout their offensive line with 4 possible starters from the earlier 12 months. Newcomers Coleman Shelton and Ryan Bates will probably battle for the beginning job at middle.

    Williams additionally has arguably one of many high extensive receiver trios within the league.

    DJ Moore is coming off his most efficient marketing campaign. Six-time Professional Bowler Keenan Allen recorded profession highs in catches (108) and receiving yards per sport (95.6) in 2023. Rookie first-rounder Rome Odunze led the FBS in whole receiving yards (1,640) final 12 months.

    Moreover, the Bears offense ought to have loads of alternatives to attain factors.

    Chicago’s protection allowed a mean of 15.5 factors in its final six outings, which included matchups towards the Detroit Lions’ and Inexperienced Bay Packers’ top-12 scoring offenses.

    Maybe the membership provides a rotational pass-rusher to switch Yannick Ngakoue and Justin Jones who logged 8.5 sacks mixed final 12 months.

    If Williams clicks together with his playmakers, the Bears might break their 10-game losing streak to the Packers and knock the Lions off the NFC North mountaintop to take management of the division, which might bolster his candidacy for MVP.

    As a rookie, C.J. Stroud tied for eighth in MVP voting, throwing for 4,108 yards, 23 touchdowns and 5 interceptions.

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    One could make a case that Williams has a extra proficient offensive group than Stroud had final 12 months.

9. Tyreek Hill, WR, Miami Dolphins

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    ORLANDO, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 04: Tyreek Hill #10 of the Miami Dolphins and AFC runs with the ball during the first half of the 2024 NFL Pro Bowl Games at Camping World Stadium on February 04, 2024 in Orlando, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)

    Mike Ehrmann/Getty Photos

    As one other long-shot candidate, Tyreek Hill might be the primary extensive receiver to win league MVP, although he is clearly extra confirmed than rookie quarterback Caleb Williams.

    Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa’s passing numbers have gone on the rise for the reason that Miami Dolphins acquired Hill from the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs throughout the 2022 offseason.

    For the 2022 time period, Tagovailoa led the league in passing landing fee (6.3 p.c) and passer score (105.5) amongst different advanced metric passing categories. Final 12 months, he led the NFL in whole passing yards (4,624) in a Professional Bowl 12 months.

    Hill, who led the league in receiving yards, receiving yards per sport and tied Mike Evans for many landing receptions (13) for the 2023 marketing campaign, finished sixth in MVP voting whereas Tagovailoa did not crack the highest 10.

    Final 12 months, the Dolphins fielded the No. 1 aerial assault in yards and went 9-0 when Hill racked up 99 or extra receiving yards in a sport.

    Tagovailoa is the purpose guard of Miami’s passing offense, however Hill’s manufacturing clearly strikes the needle for the group’s bottom-line outcomes.

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    If Hill captures the receiving triple crown for receptions, yards and touchdowns, he’ll probably get extra votes (as he did final 12 months) than Tagovailoa for MVP and probably end as one of many high candidates for the award.

8. Jordan Love, QB, Inexperienced Bay Packers

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    SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA - JANUARY 20: Jordan Love #10 of the Green Bay Packers looks to throw a pass during pregame warmups before an NFC divisional round playoff football game against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi's Stadium on January 20, 2024 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Ryan Kang/Getty Images)

    Ryan Kang/Getty Photos

    Jordan Love went from an unknown commodity to an ascending quarterback with a brilliant future inside a 12 months.

    Like Jalen Hurts in 2022, Love might garner MVP buzz in his second 12 months as a full-time beginning signal-caller.

    Final 12 months, Love threw for 4,159 yards, 32 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on a Inexperienced Bay Packers group that gained a highway playoff sport.

    If the Packers construct on a stable 2023 marketing campaign, Love will probably be the driving power behind a double-digit win season.

    Although Inexperienced Bay bolstered its working again group, signing Josh Jacobs, re-signing AJ Dillon and choosing MarShawn Lloyd within the third spherical of the 2024 draft, Love might submit profession passing numbers with a younger, upstart pass-catching group.

    In 2023, Inexperienced Bay’s aerial assault completed third in touchdowns and twelfth in yards with 4 rookies, Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks, Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft all closely concerned within the passing sport. By the best way, lead wideout Christian Watson missed eight video games due to hamstring accidents.

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    This 12 months, Love has a full season of beginning expertise beneath his belt and a longtime rapport with a handful of playmakers who might also see progress early of their careers.

    If the Packers win the NFC North title, Love will in all probability get MVP votes because the centerpiece of an ascending offense.

7. Christian McCaffrey, RB, San Francisco 49ers

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    LAS VEGAS, NV - FEBRUARY 11: Christian McCaffrey #23 of the San Francisco 49ers heads to the end zone on a 21-yard touchdown catch during Super Bowl LVIII against the Kansas City Chiefs at Allegiant Stadium on February 11, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Chiefs defeated the 49ers 25-22. (Photo by Michael Zagaris/San Francisco 49ers/Getty Images)

    Michael Zagaris/San Francisco 49ers/Getty Photos

    The San Francisco 49ers have gained back-to-back division titles with a minimum of 12 wins in 2022 and 2023. Final 12 months, that they had two MVP candidates, Christian McCaffrey and Brock Purdy.

    At No. 7, McCaffrey is the highest-ranked ability participant on this listing as a result of he is clearly the perfect at his place when wholesome.

    In 2023, McCaffrey rushed for a league-leading 1,459 yards and 14 touchdowns. Going again to the 2022 time period, together with the postseason, the 49ers are 10-1 when he rushes for 100-plus yards.

    Since San Francisco acquired McCaffrey from the Carolina Panthers in 2022, he has but to overlook a sport attributable to damage.

    Nonetheless, due to McCaffrey’s damage historical past between 2020 and 2021, you surprise if he’ll be capable to keep out there for one more full season with a heavy workload, which knocks him down just a few spots in these rankings. Nonetheless, he is the engine of the 49ers offense.

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    Final season, San Francisco completed with the fewest cross makes an attempt whereas it ranked eighth in whole carries with McCaffrey second leaguewide in rush makes an attempt (272).

6. Jared Goff, QB, Detroit Lions

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    SANTA CLARA, CA - JANUARY 28: Jared Goff #16 of the Detroit Lions celebrates after a touchdown during the first quarter of the NFC Championship NFL football game against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi's Stadium on January 28, 2024 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images)

    Kevin Sabitus/Getty Photos

    In a profession rebirth with the Detroit Lions, Jared Goff has risen from the mid-tier group of quarterbacks to a top-10 participant on the place.

    Between 2022 and 2023, Goff threw for 9,013 yards, 59 touchdowns, and 19 interceptions. In the meantime, Detroit fielded a top-eight passing offense in each campaigns, ending second final 12 months.

    Ben Johnson turned down head-coaching alternatives to stay because the Lions offensive coordinator for a 3rd time period, which bodes nicely for Goff.

    With a purpose to seize the MVP award, Goff will probably want to guide the league in a number of passing classes as a result of he would not generate notable manufacturing as a ball-carrier, which hurts his candidacy when matched up towards dynamic signal-callers.

    The Lions have a balanced offense that featured top-five passing and speeding assaults final 12 months. Detroit is not closely depending on Goff throwing downfield to win video games, which is why he is exterior the highest 5 in these rankings.

    Nonetheless, Goff has a greater probability of profitable the award than the highest ability gamers and a few the much less skilled high quarterbacks.

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5. Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys

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    DALLAS, TX - JANUARY 14: Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys scrambles out of the pocket during an NFL wild-card playoff football game against the Green Bay Packers at AT&T Stadium on January 14, 2024 in Dallas, Texas. (Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)

    Cooper Neill/Getty Photos

    The Dallas Cowboys have approached this offseason as in the event that they anticipate Dak Prescott to hold the offense in his contract 12 months.

    The Cowboys did not signal one among a number of notable working backs availble in free company nor did they draft one. As a substitute, the membership introduced again Ezekiel Elliott, who recorded a career-low 3.5 yards per carry with the New England Patriots final season.

    Elliot goes into his age-29 time period with 2,065 carries of mileage on his legs. Profession backups Rico Dowdle and Royce Freeman and undersized tailback Deuce Vaughn will probably push for leftover touches in a backfield committee.

    In what could also be a pass-heavy offense, Prescott might submit profession numbers throwing to All-Professional extensive receiver CeeDee Lamb, savvy veteran wideout Brandin Cooks and Professional Bowl tight finish Jake Ferguson.

    Final 12 months, Prescott completed second in MVP voting, throwing for 4,516 yards, a league-leading 36 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Along with his market worth in 2025 to be decided, he has the additional motivation to place up gaudier passing numbers this 12 months.

    Alternatively, Prescott threw interceptions at an alarming fee within the second half of the 2022 marketing campaign, which supplies motive to be cautious about Dallas’ probably pass-heavy offensive assault.

    Prescott is ranked one spot larger than Jared Goff as a result of the Cowboys offense will likely be extra depending on him than the Detroit Lions offense will likely be on Goff.

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4. Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles

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    TAMPA, FL - JANUARY 15: Jalen Hurts #1 of the Philadelphia Eagles gives a speech in the team huddle prior to an NFL wild-card playoff football game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on January 15, 2024 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images)

    Kevin Sabitus/Getty Photos

    Do not promote your whole Jalen Hurts inventory following his 12 months of regression in 2023.

    Final season, Brian Johnson changed former Philadelphia Eagles offensive coordinator Shane Steichen, who grew to become the Indianapolis Colts head coach.

    The Eagles’ play-calling transition had an hostile influence on Hurts’ manufacturing, however he nonetheless earned a Professional Bowl nod as a serious a part of the offense, accounting for 38 touchdowns passing and speeding mixed.

    This offseason, Philadelphia employed offensive coordinator Kellen Moore. His resume gives hope for anybody who believes Hurts can carry out at an MVP degree much like his 2022 marketing campaign when he finished second in votes.

    As an offensive coordinator, Moore has fielded a top-nine passing assault in yards or touchdowns in 4 of 5 seasons.

    Despite the fact that Moore’s Los Angeles Chargers offense struggled for stretches and misplaced quarterback Justin Herbert for 4 video games final 12 months, the membership nonetheless completed thirteenth in passing yards with the third-most cross makes an attempt.

    Below Moore, Hurts might have a excessive quantity of cross makes an attempt with sport plans geared towards getting the ball to wideouts A.J Brown and DeVonta Smith, who each signed extensions this offseason, and tight finish Dallas Goedert.

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    Even with the addition of working again Saquon Barkley, anticipate the Eagles to lean on Hurts to point out his value after they signed him to a five-year, $255 million extension final offseason.

    Primarily based on Moore’s play-calling outcomes, he ought to be capable to optimize Hurts’ ability set in an offense loaded with playmakers.

3. Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers

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    LAS VEGAS, NV - FEBRUARY 11: Brock Purdy #13 of the San Francisco 49ers warms up prior to Super Bowl LVIII against the Kansas City Chiefs at Allegiant Stadium on February 11, 2024 in Las Vegas, NV. (Photo by Perry Knotts/Getty Images)

    Perry Knotts/Getty Photos

    Brock Purdy completed behind working again Christian McCaffrey in MVP voting final 12 months, however he could also be requested to perform a little extra within the upcoming season.

    The 49ers have performed within the NFC Championship Sport in every of the final three years. After developing brief towards the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs for the Lombardi Trophy, this group will probably head into the 2024 season considering it is Tremendous Bowl or bust.

    With that in thoughts, head coach Kyle Shanahan has no motive to run McCaffrey into the bottom for 17 video games.

    McCaffrey is coming into his age-28 time period after logging 272 carries final season. Keep in mind, he missed 23 video games due to accidents between 2020 and 2021 with the Carolina Panthers.

    San Francisco wants McCaffrey wholesome for the playoffs. Do not be stunned if Shanahan lightens his workload and turns the offense over to Purdy much more in 2024.

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    By now, Shanahan ought to be capable to belief Purdy in a high-volume passing assault.

    In 25 video games (21 begins), Purdy has thrown for 44 touchdowns and 15 interceptions with a 68.7 p.c completion fee. Final 12 months, he led the league in passing landing fee (seven p.c), passer score (113) and QBR (72.8).

    If the 49ers agree to an extension with wideout Brandon Aiyuk to maintain their offensive core intact, Purdy might have a standout 12 months.

    As an offensive play-caller, Shanahan has already coached one league MVP, now-retired quarterback Matt Ryan, in 2016 with the Atlanta Falcons.

2. Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals

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    CINCINNATI, OHIO - NOVEMBER 12: Joe Burrow #9 of the Cincinnati Bengals calls a play during the second quarter against the Houston Texans at Paycor Stadium on November 12, 2023 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

    Andy Lyons/Getty Photos

    We’ve got little doubt that Joe Burrow is probably the most helpful participant within the Cincinnati Bengals offense, and that is why he is one spot above Brock Purdy.

    When Burrow is wholesome, Cincinnati is within the Tremendous Bowl dialogue with a high-powered aerial assault.

    Between 2021 and 2022, Burrow threw for 69 touchdowns and 26 interceptions. In each campaigns, the Bengals fielded a top-seven passing offense in yards and touchdowns.

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    Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins will proceed to be one of many league’s finest extensive receiver duos if the latter plays out the 12 months with the Bengals on the franchise tag.

    Cincinnati additionally signed tight finish Mike Gesicki, who was underutilized within the passing sport with the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins over the earlier two seasons.

    Burrow has the playmakers to submit MVP-worthy passing numbers. He simply wants to remain wholesome. In 4 campaigns, Burrow has missed 13 video games (seven final 12 months) due to accidents.

    In the end, Burrow’s damage historical past stored him out of the No. 1 spot.

1. C.J. Stroud, QB, Houston Texans

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    HOUSTON, TEXAS - OCTOBER 01: C.J. Stroud #7 of the Houston Texans celebrates after defeating the Pittsburgh Steelers at NRG Stadium on November 19, 2023 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Logan Riely/Getty Images)

    Logan Riely/Getty Photos

    This is not a prisoner-of-moment decide. When you have been impressed with C.J. Stroud’s rookie marketing campaign, look out for his potential encore MVP efficiency.

    Final 12 months, the Houston Texans gained the AFC South title, they usually added All-Professional extensive receiver Stefon Diggs and Professional Bowl working again Joe Mixon.

    Diggs has racked up 1,130-plus receiving yards in 5 consecutive campaigns. Mixon is a dependable pass-catcher out of the backfield, recording 283 receptions for two,139 yards and 13 touchdowns in seven seasons.

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    Diggs joins a high-level pass-catching group that features Nico Collins, who caught 80 passes for 1,297 yards and eight touchdowns final 12 months, Tank Dell, who was on monitor to eclipse 1,000 receiving yards earlier than an ankle damage derailed his rookie season, and tight finish Dalton Schultz. Texans proprietor Cal McNair expects Dell to make a “full recovery” from a gunshot wound.

    With the addition of Diggs, Stroud might simply high his 2023 Offensive Rookie of the Yr totals in passing yards (4,108) and touchdowns (23).

    In 2023, the Texans have been the one playoff group of their division, and they need to be favored to win it once more with Stroud main the best way.

    Maurice Moton covers the NFL for Bleacher Report. You’ll be able to comply with him on Twitter @MoeMoton.

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