Draft season all the time will get dumb, however on Tuesday it grew to become hilariously silly. When everybody went to mattress on Monday the highest choose of the draft was kind of settled. Each signal pointed to the Carolina Panthers deciding on Bryce Younger, with a really slender likelihood that C.J. Stroud may very well be the highest choose.
Then, when everybody wakened, it was anarchy.
All of the sudden Levis was a trending matter. Everybody was dropping it, assuming one thing monumental had shifted and Las Vegas “realized” that Levis was going to be the choose. It doesn’t matter that this isn’t how sports activities betting works, however group suppose took over to such a level that for a number of hours the soccer world grew to become satisfied that the Panthers had been going to stun everybody by taking Levis, a participant many assume would be the third or fourth quarterback off the board.
Only one downside: The entire thing began from probably the most hilarious supply conceivable — a random Reddit publish, written by a consumer who claimed they’d in depth inside data of the No. 1 choose within the draft. That is info solely the smallest handful of individuals would know, nevertheless it was sufficient to maneuver the market.
The publish from “u/SaleAgreeable2834” on r/sportsbook stays the highest publish within the subreddit. Over 1,000 individuals have commented, a lot of whom posting that they went and put cash on Levis being the No. 1 choose because of this publish. An enormous inflow of bets led to sportsbooks quickly ceasing prop bets on the highest choose, which poured gas on the fireplace of people that had been now satisfied that Reddit had crushed Vegas like this was WallStreetBets once more.
There isn’t any historical past of this poster making any appropriate predictions apart from saying “belief me,” and when pressed they claimed they additionally informed the sub that Baker Mayfield was going to be the No. 1 choose again in 2018, however conveniently makes use of completely different burner accounts after they get “actual information.” The poster by no means linked to his supposed appropriate Mayfield prediction.
No matter what occurred with the cash at sportsbooks, NFL writers and draft gurus met this with unparalleled skepticism. Nothing about Levis at No. 1 made sense anymore. Certain, sooner or later within the course of he was most likely in dialogue, however speak of all different quarterbacks has been eclipsed by an unwavering perception that Younger was going to be the choose.
Josh Norris of Underdog Fantasy noticed that together with u/SaleAgreeable2834’s daring proclamation that Levis was going No. 1, he additionally hung out in a single day on “r/MarkMyWords” informing those that Barry Keoghan was being changed as The Joker within the subsequent Batman film. It’s unimaginable to have intimate data of each NFL draft secrets and techniques AND Hollywood casting, however random of us on Reddit have that energy.
By early afternoon the books had reopened, and betting had stabilized. As of writing Bryce Younger is the runaway favourite at -1000, with Levis sitting in second at +500 — dropping a bit of from the fever pitch. DraftKings told ESPN that all the action they were seeing at Levis No. 1 wasn’t a result of a few large bets (which you’d anticipate if somebody actually knew), however relatively a whole lot of smaller ones, which they consider all originated on account of the publish.
“Given the character of the draft, we drastically minimize the value based mostly on this motion and finally got here to a worth the place the bets stopped,” a DraftKings spokesperson informed ESPN. “We’re nonetheless seeing some small bets trickle via on the present worth, however the hypothesis is all of the motion was off the again of a Reddit publish.”
The potential for Levis being the highest choose was so unthinkable that final week BetMGM took Levis off their doable prop bets all collectively. At the moment he was added again in, and instantly shot to 5-1.
Why would somebody do that? Maybe they wished to attempt to manipulate Younger’s odds and get a guess in when he dropped. Perhaps they had been simply trolling? Both method, there stays no proof past one random publish that Levis can be taken No. 1 total, and are available Friday morning there are going to be lots of people who flushed cash down the bathroom based mostly on this recommendation.