Can Tyler Reddick leap into the highest eight at the Charlotte Roval?
Reddick enters the ultimate race of the second spherical Sunday (2 p.m. ET, NBC) ninth in the standings and two factors behind Brad Keselowski in eighth. Given Reddick’s success on street programs, it will likely be extra of a shock if he doesn’t make the third spherical of the playoffs than if he does.
Three of Reddick’s 5 profession wins have come on street programs and he has two top-10 finishes in three begins on the Roval. That’s why he enters the race because the No. 3 favourite at +800 behind Hendrick Motorsports teammates Chase Elliott and William Byron.
Reddick’s 23XI Racing teammate Bubba Wallace sits tenth within the standings and is seven factors behind Reddick. His street course observe file isn’t practically pretty much as good. Wallace has scored only one high 5 at a street course in his Cup Sequence profession and has one top-10 end in 5 Roval begins. His odds to win Sunday are a whopping +10000 and by far the longest of any of the 12 playoff drivers.
Ross Chastain is some extent behind Wallace in eleventh within the standings, whereas Kyle Busch is 26 factors again of eighth in twelfth. Busch can mathematically make the third spherical with out profitable Sunday however the odds of that occuring are low. He’d want bother to hit the 4 drivers immediately forward of him within the standings. Busch enters the race because the No. 7 favourite at +1200.
Right here’s what it is advisable to know to guess Sunday’s race. All odds are from BetMGM.
Chase Elliott (+600)
Tyler Reddick (+700)
William Byron (+725)
Kyle Larson (+800)
Michael McDowell (+1000)
AJ Allmendinger (+1000)
Elliott remains to be looking for his first win of the season however his No. 9 automotive is within the proprietor’s playoffs. That’s necessary, as a result of the proprietor playoffs is the place a lot of the cash is. He has two wins in 5 Roval begins and a mean end of eighth.
Byron gained at Watkins Glen in August and has two top-10 finishes in 5 begins. Larson has one Roval win in 4 begins and authored one of many wildest moments on the observe when he bounced his broken automotive off the wall on the ultimate lap to advance within the playoffs. McDowell gained on the Indianapolis street course in August, whereas Allmendinger is likely one of the finest street course racers in NASCAR and has a high 5 and two high 10s in three Roval Cup Sequence begins.
Good mid-tier worth
Christopher Bell (+1400)
Chris Buescher (+2000)
Bell gained this race a 12 months in the past and has two high 10s in three begins. He’s the most effective worth play of the weekend. Buescher has completed within the high 10 twice in 5 Roval begins and his worst street course end this season is eleventh.
Don’t guess this driver
Michael McDowell (+1000)
McDowell is extraordinarily overvalued at these odds. Sure, he’s been superb at street programs with the present Cup Sequence automotive. However he’s now out of the playoffs and has by no means completed within the high 10 on the Roval. It’ll be a stunner if McDowell leads to victory lane.
In search of a protracted shot?
Ross Chastain (+3000)
Chastain’s Roval historical past isn’t good and his efficiency in 2023 has taken a step again from a season in the past. However he’s not a foul street course racer and can must be aggressive all through the race to get into the highest eight.