For the second straight week, Brad Keselowski discovered himself one spot away from the winner’s circle. Keselowski has solely led two laps in back-to-back runner-ups over the past two weeks, however his finishes close to the highest of the leaderboard have earned him 78 factors within the NASCAR Cup Collection standings over that span. The 40-year-old moved as much as 14th within the NASCAR Cup Collection standings coming into the 2024 Wurth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway on Sunday at 2 p.m. ET. Keselowski is looking for his first NASCAR Cup Collection victory since 2021, however has 4 runner-ups because the starting of the 2023 season. He’s 20-1 within the 2024 NASCAR at Dover odds, so must you contemplate enjoying Keselowski to interrupt by for a victory in 2024 Wurth 400 bets?
Kyle Larson is the 9-2 favourite adopted by Martin Truex Jr. (6-1) within the newest 2024 Wurth 400 odds. Earlier than making any 2024 NASCAR at Dover predictions, be sure you see the latest 2024 Wurth 400 picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by day by day Fantasy professional and SportsLine predictive knowledge engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction mannequin simulates each race 10,000 occasions, taking into consideration components resembling observe historical past and up to date outcomes.
McClure’s mannequin was red-hot in 2023, nailing Martin Truex Jr.’s Conflict win (20-1) in addition to his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano’s Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch’s Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin’s triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson’s wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The mannequin appropriately predicted winners in two of the playoff races as properly, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson profitable at 9-2 in Las Vegas.
Then it known as its first winner of the 2024 season with Larson in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout and predicted Hamlin’s wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It additionally impressively nailed 5 of Larson’s wins throughout his historic season in 2021. All advised, the mannequin has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021, together with 9 final yr and three within the first seven races this season. Anybody who adopted its lead on these NASCAR picks noticed enormous returns.
Now, the mannequin simulated the 2024 Wurth 400 10,000 occasions. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Dover leaderboard.
Prime 2024 Wurth 400 predictions
For the 2024 Wurth 400, the mannequin is excessive on Chase Elliott, regardless that he is a 12-1 longshot within the newest 2024 NASCAR at Dover odds. He is a goal for anybody searching for an enormous payday. Elliott not too long ago received the EchoPark Automotive 400 at Texas Motor Speedway on April 14. It was his third straight top-five end earlier than ending fifteenth eventually weekend’s GEICO 500. The 28-year-old is third within the NASCAR Cup Collection standings. The 2020 NASCAR Cup Collection champion completed fourth within the closing standings in 2021 and 2022 earlier than a fractured left tibia derailed his 2023 season.
Elliott received NASCAR at Dover in 2022 whereas main 73 laps after ending third there the yr earlier than. He completed eleventh at Dover in simply his third race again from harm final season and Elliott has two victories over 13 profession races on the speedway. He has six top-three finishes and 9 top-five finishes over his 13 races in Dover as his success on the speedway makes him a robust choice for 2024 Wurth 400 bets within the mannequin’s newest projections.
One other huge shocker: Martin Truex, Jr., who’s second within the standings and listed as one of many high Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the highest 5. There are much better values within the 2024 Dover NASCAR beginning lineup. He received final yr’s race and he is been to victory lane at “The Monster Mile” 4 occasions now in his profession.
Nonetheless, regardless of racing successfully for factors all season, he hasn’t managed a victory but and he is completed outdoors the highest 10 in every of his final three races. He additionally didn’t crack the highest 10 in 2021 and 2022 at Dover Motor Speedway and the mannequin sees him struggling to reside as much as his billing as second favourite. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
The best way to make 2024 NASCAR at Dover picks
The mannequin can be focusing on 4 different drivers with 2024 NASCAR at Dover odds longer than 10-1 to make a critical run on the checkered flag. Anybody who backs these drivers might hit it massive. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the Wurth 400 2024, and which longshots are a must-back? Try the newest 2024 NASCAR at Dover odds beneath, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 NASCAR at Dover leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 18 winners, including three already this year.
2024 Wurth 400 odds, drivers, lineup
See full NASCAR at Dover picks at SportsLine
Kyle Larson 9-2
Martin Truex Jr. 6-1
William Byron 15-2
Denny Hamlin 15-2
Ross Chastain 15-2
Ty Gibbs 12-1
Chase Elliott 12-1
Christopher Bell 12-1
Ryan Blaney 14-1
Alex Bowman 16-1
Kyle Busch 18-1
Brad Keselowski 20-1
Chris Buescher 20-1
Tyler Reddick 22-1
Joey Logano 25-1
Bubba Wallace 45-1
Josh Berry 45-1
Chase Briscoe 60-1
Noah Gragson 90-1
Ryan Preece 100-1
Corey Heim 100-1
Carson Hocevar 100-1
Daniel Suarez 100-1
John Hunter Nemechek 125-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 125-1
Austin Dillon 125-1
Jimmie Johnson 125-1
Michael McDowell 125-1
Justin Haley 250-1
Austin Cindric 250-1
AJ Allmendinger 250-1
Corey Lajoie 250-1
Todd Gilliland 400-1
Zane Smith 400-1
Harrison Burton 750-1
Daniel Hemric 1000-1
Kaz Grala 2500-1
