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Mets vs. Brewers prediction: MLB odds, picks, finest bets for Friday

Thanks to Hurricane Helen, the Mets are staring down a horrific scheduling situation. Because they had back-to-back games postponed this week, they are forced to play a doubleheader on Monday in Atlanta. A potential wild-card series would then start for them on Tuesday, less than 24 hours from the finish of the second game. The

Mets vs. Brewers prediction: MLB odds, picks, finest bets for Friday

Because of Hurricane Helen, the Mets are staring down a horrific scheduling state of affairs.

As a result of that they had back-to-back video games postponed this week, they’re compelled to play a doubleheader on Monday in Atlanta.

A possible wild-card collection would then begin for them on Tuesday, lower than 24 hours from the end of the second sport.

The journey could be taxing, and burning high quality arms in Monday’s matchups with playoff video games the next three days would even be disastrous. 

Because the Mets (87-70) start their three-game collection in Milwaukee on Friday, they discover themselves one sport up on the Braves (86-71) within the NL wild-card race and in a digital tie with the Diamondbacks (88-71), who’ve performed extra video games.

Mets vs. Brewers odds

Crew Moneyline Run Line Whole
Mets -115 -1.5 (+150) o7.5 (-115)
Brewers -105 +1.5 (-180) u7.5 (-105)
Odds by way of bet365

Mets vs. Brewers prediction

With the Padres having wrapped up the highest wild card, that leaves the Mets, Diamondbacks and Braves vying for the ultimate two spots within the Nationwide League. Right here is the place the tiebreakers stand getting into Friday’s play:

  • The Mets and Braves each win tiebreakers in opposition to the Diamondbacks.
  • Atlanta at present has the tiebreaker over the Mets with a 6-5 file within the collection with Monday’s doubleheader remaining.

There are realistic scenarios through which the Mets might clinch earlier than Monday’s doubleheader. After all, that might be very helpful, however these eventualities embody successful no less than two of three video games in opposition to the Brewers. 

The Mets have an excellent alternative to win Friday’s sport in Milwaukee with left-hander Sean Manaea on the mound to face veteran right-hander Frankie Montas.

Manaea has helped energy the Mets midseason turnaround with a dominant stretch of play. He was strong once more in a crucial win over the Phillies in his final outing.

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In 81 2/3 innings because the All-Star break, Manaea has pitched to an ERA of three.09, with a WHIP of simply 0.87. He has an ERA of two.36 in his final 5 begins, holding opponents to a batting common of simply .133.

His underlying numbers all through these outings are additionally robust (3.56 xFIP, .204 xBA). 

Sean Manaea has a 6-2 record with a 2.77 ERA this season away from Citi Field.
Sean Manaea has a 6-2 file with a 2.77 ERA this season away from Citi Area. Getty Pictures

Opponents are hitting simply .198 in opposition to him this season, which ranks third amongst certified starters behind solely Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler and Houston’s Ronel Blanco.

Montas has struggled to a 5.49 ERA in 12 begins because the All-Star break.

In his final 5 begins, he owns an ERA of 5.81, a Ok-BB% of 21.2 and a .231 xBA.

In that span, he has a 67.5% strand charge and has allowed a 23.3% HR/FB in these begins. His Pitching+ ranking of 101 can be higher than league common. 

The Mets’ offense has been more practical of late than the Brewers, and must be fielding near their high lineup with solely Jeff McNeil unavailable for Friday’s matchup. 

Over the past month, the Mets have hit to a wRC+ of 108, in comparison with the Brewers’ 93.

The Mets have additionally hit a wRC+ of 107 in 1,740 plate appearances versus righties within the second half of the season, whereas in the identical span, Milwaukee has a wRC+ of 97 in opposition to left-handed pitching. 


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Mets vs. Brewers decide

Although these video games are technically meaningless for Milwaukee, don’t anticipate Pat Murphy membership to easily undergo the motions on Friday or on this collection as they’d like to drive the Mets to play significant video games on Monday, in addition to enter the playoffs in robust kind. 

So whereas we should always nonetheless anticipate the Brewers to carry their A-game on Friday night time, there nonetheless seems to be to be worth backing the Mets at -130 with Manaea on the mound. 

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Decide: Mets moneyline (-115, BetMGM)

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