FanDuel makes Tuesdays thrilling by way of a promotion referred to as “Dinger Tuesday,” which promotes essentially the most enjoyable factor to do when wagering on MLB: betting on dingers.
This is how the promo works: You obtain a $5 bonus guess (as much as $25) for each dwelling run hit within the recreation that includes the participant you are backing to hit a house run.
For instance, one among my favourite picks immediately is Rangers shortstop Corey Seager within the Rangers-Pink Sox recreation. If there are 4 dwelling runs hit in that recreation — no matter who hits them — you’ll obtain $20 in bonus bets in your FanDuel account. The max you will get per recreation is $25, however you possibly can guess on as many video games as you need.
It is a enjoyable promo, so let’s get proper into the perfect methods to assault it on Tuesday, August 13.
Corey Seager House Run (+300) FanDuel
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Pink Sox, 7:10 p.m. ET
Seager has been completely on hearth, most likely the most popular hitter in baseball over the previous two weeks, and for immediately he has about pretty much as good of a matchup as you would probably ask for.
He has hit seven dwelling runs over the previous two weeks, which is the second-most in MLB, with the second-most HardHit line-drive + fly-balls as nicely, with 21. Solely Jake Burger is forward of him in these classes. 5 of Seager’s seven dwelling runs and 15 of these 21 HardHits have come in opposition to right-handed pitching, which is what he’s dealing with tonight in Kutter Crawford.
Crawford has been terrible on the 12 months, and he’s particularly terrible in opposition to lefties. To place the icing on the cake, he has been even worse lately. Crawford has the worst HR/9 (1.83) in MLB of all certified pitchers, however in opposition to lefties that quantity jumps as much as 2.15. In case you take a look at the information since June 1, it jumps even increased, to a HR/9 of three.08.
Crawford throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time when dealing with left-handed hitters, and he throws cutters 30% of the time. Unsurprisingly, Seager has crushed each of those pitches from righties over the previous two weeks.
He has hit 4 dwelling runs off 4-seamers, with a fully loopy 66.67% barrel charge and a 100% HardHit charge, with 4 complete dwelling runs. To substantiate, 100% of the batted balls Seager has hit in opposition to 4-seam fastballs have been thought-about a HardHit, which is actually absurd. In opposition to cutters, in the meantime, Seager has a 40% barrel charge, a 50% HardHit charge and a .600 ISO charge. He ought to be capable to keep sizzling tonight.
Jackson Merrill House Run (+680) FanDuel
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres, 9:40 p.m. ET
Regardless of not being generally known as a conventional energy hitter, Merrill quietly has the second-most balls launched in MLB over the previous two weeks, which is outlined as 100-plus mph off the bat and a 20-40 diploma launch angle. Merrill has eight launched balls on this stretch, which is tied with three different batters. Solely Burger, with 9, has extra.
General, over the previous two weeks in opposition to right-handed pitching, Merrill has a 19.35% barrel charge, 50% HardHit charge and .516 ISO charge. He has been crushing, and he will get an awesome matchup in opposition to Luis Ortiz, who will get crushed by lefties.
Seven of the 9 dwelling runs that Ortiz has given up have been to lefties, with a HR/9 of 1.59 in opposition to LHH, up from 0.36 in opposition to RHH. Ortiz was made a full-time beginning pitcher on June 8, and he has been even worse at permitting dwelling runs since then. Since June 8, his HR/9 is 2.10 in opposition to LHH.
Merrill additionally crushes Ortiz’s pitch-mix which consists of, so as, 4-seam fastballs (38% of the time), sliders (25%) and cutters (22%). Over the previous two weeks in opposition to these three pitches from RHP, Merrill has a 25% barrel charge, 55% HardHit charge and .563 ISO charge. He stays sizzling with one other dwelling run immediately.
Jackson Holliday House Run (+800) FanDuel
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles, 6:35 p.m. ET
After a gradual begin to his skilled profession, Baltimore infielder Jackson Holliday has been red-hot since he was referred to as again up. Since July 31, which was his first recreation again with the Orioles, he has hit 5 dwelling runs with a .400 ISO charge, 25% barrel charge and 57.1% HardHit charge.
Holliday is one other one of many batters who has eight balls launched over the previous two weeks, tying him with Merrill and placing him one behind Burger for essentially the most in MLB.
The opposing pitcher tonight is Jake Irvin, who’s, as you most likely guessed, one other nice matchup for left-handed hitters. Irvin historically throws off-speed stuff, however not when he’s dealing with lefties.
In opposition to left-handed hitters, he throws a 4-seam fastball virtually 50% of the time, and Holliday has crushed 4-seamers over the previous couple weeks. Vacation has a 20% barrel charge and 66.67% HardHit charge in opposition to 4-seamers since he was referred to as again up.
Subsequent up, Irvin throws a curveball 34% of the time, and Holliday has a house run in 4 at-bats from RHP curveballs over the identical span. Put this all collectively and he crushes fastballs and curveballs, which is 80% of what he’ll see tonight.
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