We are down to one Turkey Day game, which is customary, since the Colorado State and Air Force game got the COVID axe. It was supposed to be 11 games on Friday, but that’s down to nine with SDSU-Fresno and UAB-Southern Miss getting called off. That leaves a total of ten games before Friday this week.
I had a solid week last week, and my third straight week with my head above water. It was also the fourth straight with positive points. Let’s build on that!
For those of you that are new to this, I pick every college football game every week. Not a top five. Not a top ten. All of them. Big deal, right? Lots of people make picks. Well, I do them all against the spread! I take the odds of each game and average them out at all the Vegas casinos and round to the nearest half. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.
I also assign a point value based on the confidence I have in each pick. 1 means that I have little to no confidence. 5 is one I would place a decent wager on. I keep track of my record and my points back from year to year.
As we all well know, this is not an exact science. Due to the volatile nature of betting in general, this is for entertainment purposes only! I cannot be responsible for the loss of money, possessions, spouses, or limbs because of my picks. I can’t have that on my conscious.
Without further delay, let’s get to the ten games that kick off week 13!
New Mexico(-6.5) at Utah State(3): It looks like Tevaka Tuioti will be available for the Lobos. That makes the whole team better. The only reason that I’m not higher on this is because we have no idea what to expect from Utah State. With Deven Thompkins, I have my doubts that it will be good. I’ll take New Mexico.
(13)Iowa State at (17)Texas(-1.5)(5): This line is all over the place. The Cyclones are favored by as many as 2. Texas by as many as 2.5, so shop around to get the line you want. Me? I like the Cyclones straight up by at least a touchdown. I’d take any of the lines right now.
Massachusetts at Liberty(-37.5)(2): Nope. I’m not biting this time. The UMass defense is respectable. I’m taking the Minutemen even though it did not go well the only time I bet against the Flames this year.
Nebraska at Iowa(-13.5)(4): This looks low. The Nebraska offense is a disaster right now because their best running back is their quarterback and they have no receivers. Zavier Betts will be good at some point, but this team is too young and hasn’t had enough time to work with McCaffrey as the starter. Iowa wins BIG.
(2)Notre Dame(-5.5) at (19)North Carolina(2): I’m a hell of a lot more comfortable betting the over on 68 than picking the spread. This is a game Carolina could win, but it’s all contingent on them getting to the Irish defense because their defense wont stop anyone. I have to go with Notre Dame.
Central Florida(-24.5) at South Florida(2): The UCF offense can definitely pull this off, but can the defense hold the Bulls down for the whole game? I have my doubts. In fact, UCF has had four games in which they have been favored by more than 20 points. They haven’t covered one yet. Give me USF.
Wyoming(-16.5) at UNLV(2): This feels too high. The Rebels have been hanging around and Wyoming can’t throw. That’s not conducive to covering a line like this. I’ll take the Rebels in Vegas.
Stanford at California(-1.5)(2): This is a tough one. Chase Garbers has played better, but Stanford has been more competitive. This will be very close, but I think the wrong team is favored. I’ll take the Cardinal.
Central Michigan(-6.5) at Eastern Michigan(2): The CMU offense has looked pretty good with one of the best receivers in the MAC and the emergence of Kobe Lewis in the backfield. However, Preston Hutchinson is the real deal. I think I like the Eagles straight up on their battleship gray field.
(15)Oregon(-13.5) at Oregon State(3): This is too many. Not only is this a rivalry (it will always be the Civil War to me), but Jermar Jefferson may be the best overall player on the field. Little brother keeps it close and I wouldn’t be shocked if the won outright.
Stay tuned throughout the season for every college football game picked against the spread! I usually have my picks up about 24 hours before kickoff in order to get the most accurate spread possible. If I change one, I will post it on Twitter.