Sport atmosphere is the foundational start line in making fantasy selections. As such, I’m going to interrupt down every sport on the slate into three classes: Binge, Stream and Skip.
Video games you need to “binge” are just like the present you possibly can’t miss; you’re watching as quickly because it goes dwell and may simply crush all of the episodes in a single weekend. These are the start-all-your-guys fantasy video games and ones with season-defining storylines.
Video games you need to “stream” are just like the exhibits you actually watch begin to end, however maybe you’re ending it over time as an alternative of 1 shot. Whereas these video games may not characteristic a ton of “must-starts,” we are able to decide and select our spots, and the groups are prone to matter within the NFL playoff image.
Lastly, the video games you need to “skip” are just like the exhibits you’re leaning towards passing on, however you may catch an episode right here and there (or may follow studying recaps on-line to remain up with the tradition). There will likely be a non-obvious participant or two who stands out in these video games, however total, they aren’t the perfect atmosphere for fantasy soccer.
Let’s dive into my Week 2 Fantasy Soccer Viewer’s Information.
BALTIMORE RAVENS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS
You could possibly argue that these have been two of essentially the most disappointing offenses of Week 1, a minimum of in line with public sentiment. That mentioned, I’m not particularly nervous about both going ahead.
For the Ravens, we dwell in a microwave society. Sure, we talked all offseason about how the new-look Ravens offense underneath Todd Monken can be in contrast to something we’ve seen with Lamar Jackson. It will likely be, even when the Week 1 outcomes weren’t nice. Putting in an offense is a marathon, not a dash. I’m assured that Baltimore can get proper fairly rapidly, maybe this very Week 2 sport.
With the Bengals, it’s a bit extra sophisticated however maybe not all that regarding … if Joe Burrow is wholesome. Quarterback charting professional Derrik Klassen wrote after watching Burrow in Week 1: “Each side of Burrow’s sport was affected by the harm and the missed time over the offseason. This was essentially the most obvious when Burrow tried, and failed, to drive the ball.”
It’s additionally price noting the wet situations in that sport, which could’ve exacerbated the issue. However I couldn’t assist however keep in mind when Ja’Marr Chase spoke about his quarterback’s availability in training camp, saying, “I instructed him that with all honesty, I do not need him there … so long as you are there after Week 5 and on, we’re good, brother.” Ravens defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald has thrown some good pitches at Burrow after they’ve confronted off, however Baltimore additionally enters this sport banged up within the secondary.
If Burrow doesn’t bounce again right here, I’ll transfer from “not involved in any respect” to “barely troubled.”
Non-obvious gamers I like
Odell Beckham Jr., WR, Baltimore Ravens. A lot of the hype is justifiably on rookie Zay Flowers (extra on him in a second), however with Rashod Bateman (39% of the snaps) nonetheless working himself again to type after an offseason of rehab, Beckham ran out as a transparent starter. The veteran receiver ran a route on 74.2% of Jackson’s dropbacks and was the air-yards-share chief at 40%. He’s the downfield goal right here and even drew some essential move interferences to go together with a classic OBJ spotlight catch. If this sport is high-scoring, Beckham can rip a number of massive performs.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: Zay Flowers led all pass-catchers (by loads) in Week 1 with a 60% first-read goal share, per Fantasy Factors Information. A.J. Brown was second at 47.1%. So it was made clear straight away that Todd Monken desires to characteristic the explosive rookie.
Some within the fantasy area have made an enormous deal about how most of those targets are “designed reads” (six of 10 targets) like screens and such. We don’t need Flowers to be solely a gadget man, however that is why watching gamers play is definitely necessary. That’s removed from the one space the place Flowers wins, as you see him run a ton of downfield routes and win towards man protection in Week 1.
Don’t be shocked if: Tee Higgins finds the tip zone. Higgins led the staff with 140 air yards and drew the lone end-zone goal for Cincinnati final week. In fact, it resulted in a flat zero catches. He’s too good of a participant for that to proceed and may discover favorable matchups with Marcus Williams and Marlon Humphrey dominated out by the Ravens.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS AT DETROIT LIONS
It is a matchup of two NFC playoff hopefuls, with the 2 operations coming in with vastly totally different vibes.
The Lions are using excessive after upsetting the Chiefs on the highway within the season opener that already seems like a lifetime in the past. Detroit’s offense regarded just like the unit we anticipated, and their protection executed a implausible sport plan. The cease unit particularly regarded a lot improved up entrance, with Aidan Hutchinson taking a leap and within the secondary because of quite a lot of additions.
As talked about, the offense was about as anticipated. They’re going to circulation by means of Amon-Ra St. Brown within the passing sport, and the run sport (seventh in EPA per carry in Week 1) will likely be a basis piece.
In the meantime, the Seahawks enter Week 2 licking their wounds after a troublesome residence loss to the Rams. To play a bit armchair psychologist, they regarded like a staff that anticipated to defeat a rebuilding opponent with ease and maybe acquired a bit too excessive by itself press clippings. Pete Carroll is an effective sufficient coach to brush previous that one-week aberration, however there are long-term considerations after dropping each beginning tackles in Week 1.
Charles Cross is out this week, and Abe Lucas was positioned on IR. Newly signed 41-year-old Jason Peters may effectively begin quickly. Geno Smith was underneath strain on 14 dropbacks in Week 1 and accomplished simply 45.5% of his passes for 4.7 YPA. Accidents to each beginning tackles have sunk offenses earlier than. I’m nonetheless beginning each of the veteran receivers with confidence and holding out sooner-than-later hope for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, however that is on my radar nonetheless.
Non-obvious gamers I like
David Montgomery, RB, Detroit Lions. The veteran again performed on 77.1% of staff snaps, dealt with 61.8% of staff rush makes an attempt and ran a route on 33.3% of dropbacks. Till that utilization modifications, and regardless of what the haters assume, he’s ok to carry an enormous position, and also you play him each week.
Sam LaPorta, TE, Detroit Lions. In his first NFL motion, LaPorta ran a route on 50% of staff dropbacks and was focused on 28% of these patterns. You may’t ask for significantly better tight finish deployment than that.
Josh Reynolds, WR, Detroit Lions. It’s important to be comparatively determined to start out Reynolds in fantasy, however he’s clearly the (for now) reply at WR2 for the Lions over Marvin Jones. Reynolds is the perfect vertical outdoors receiver on the roster.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: Jahmyr Gibbs ran a route on simply 19.4% of staff dropbacks. The Lions are promising extra work for Gibbs because the season goes on. Total, I are likely to fall on the facet of believing them. In any case, they have been ecstatic to seize him within the draft. However I believed he was over-drafted in fantasy (in Spherical 3) this summer season, and nothing about his Week 1 position modified my thoughts, regardless of him being a verifiably electrical participant.
Don’t be shocked if: We don’t get one other high-scoring affair right here. I’m truly hoping I’m flawed with this one, however it seems that some within the fantasy neighborhood are banking on one other 90-plus-point shootout like we acquired between these two groups final season. With Seattle’s offensive line points and Detroit’s defensive enhancements, we’d not fairly attain these heights.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS AT JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Vegas expects the Jaguars to remain scorching and the Chiefs to rebound, as this sport carries a 51.5-point projected complete. I’m on board with each.
The addition of Calvin Ridley paid speedy dividends for Jacksonville. Ridley was an alpha in each sense of the phrase in Week 1, dealing with a 48.6% share of the staff air yards and drawing a goal on 33% of these patterns. He’s the kind of presence that makes a complete offense higher. The immense trust between Ridley and Trevor Lawrence just one game into their time collectively is putting.
Kansas Metropolis’s offense wasn’t as much as snuff in Week 1. That’s no shock, contemplating they discovered that Travis Kelce was going to be out far too late within the proceedings to regulate the sport plan. I need to see this unit with their elite pass-catcher within the combine earlier than casting judgment on how the distribution or impression will work going ahead (Kelce will likely be again in Week 2). Nevertheless, there was such a dramatic rotation on the receiver place (nobody ran greater than 72% of the routes) and within the backfield (nobody had greater than 35% of the carries) that you just can not contemplate enjoying any ancillary piece at this level.
Non-obvious gamers I like
Zay Jones, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars got here out with extra two-tight-end units than anticipated, and it was Jones who performed over Christian Kirk in these packages. If the Jags play extra 11-personnel in Week 2 to unfold the sphere towards the Chiefs and Kirk approaches an 80% route participation mark, you’re not allowed to be shocked as a result of he’s participant. However simply primarily based on Week 1, Jones together with his 35.5% air yard share is the man to take a look at.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: Travis Etienne‘s 83% route price in Week 1 was simply a profession excessive. He by no means topped 67% final 12 months. It is a large growth. Rookie Tank Bigsby certainly got here in for goal-line work however made a bevy of rookie errors. He doesn’t look poised to siphon work from the explosive Etienne, who’s an RB1 till additional discover.
Don’t be shocked if: Travis Kelce returning makes the whole lot higher for this offense. Patrick Mahomes threw to his first learn on simply 43.6% of his passes, third-lowest amongst Week 1 starters, per Fantasy Factors Information. He simply didn’t belief what was occurring round him with a makeshift sport plan whereas working in younger, inexperienced receivers. That may get higher with time — don’t quit on a few of these guys simply but.
These NFC West matchups are at all times a delight and filled with the surprising, because the Rams’ win over Seattle confirmed final week. Together with the playoff sport, Kyle Shanahan is 9-4 towards Sean McVay, and the 49ers have taken the previous eight straight regular-season contests.
And this was all earlier than they discovered their strategy to a possible reply at quarterback.
The 49ers have been nothing in need of implausible in Week 1. It’s a talent-laden unit with high quality gamers in any respect ranges. The blocks the receivers threw for Christian McCaffrey present the immense buy-in from everybody on this staff. Talking of McCaffrey, he performed on 85% of snaps, putting off any foolish worries about Elijah Mitchell siphoning work from top-of-the-line soccer gamers within the league. He’s the RB1 total with a bullet.
All the primary dudes in San Francisco are in play each single week, however I do have my eye on George Kittle because the potential participant to cede quantity to the wideouts. That mentioned, he garnered 21% of the targets in Week 1, and also you, in all probability, would not have a greater possibility at tight finish.
The Rams have been one of many greatest surprises in Week 1, thanks largely to a elegant efficiency by Matthew Stafford. So long as Stafford is enjoying like that and stays wholesome, this offense and total staff are going to out-kick expectations.
Now we simply should nail down the roles for the younger gamers surrounding the veteran passer.
Non-obvious gamers I like
Kyren Williams, WR, Los Angeles Rams. One of many greatest surprises of Week 1 got here when Williams ran because the clear high again over Cam Akers, although it shouldn’t have been so beautiful, as this was a growing story in camp. Williams performed on 74.5% of the snaps in quarters 1-3 and owned 100% of the two-minute snaps, per Fantasy Life. Akers performed simply 25.5% of the primary three-quarter snaps and didn’t see the sphere in two-minute conditions. Till we see one thing flip, Williams is a playable possibility in fantasy, and Akers is merely a stash.
Tutu Atwell, WR, Los Angeles Rams. Atwell won’t ever be a serious volume-heavy receiver together with his ability set, however he seems to be a worthwhile pre-snap movement participant for McVay’s offense. He will likely be fairly increase/bust, however that movement position is crucial.
Brandon Aiyuk, WR, San Francisco 49ers. The period of Aiyuk as a non-obvious begin in fantasy is quickly coming to an finish, however for now, he have to be talked about. Aiyuk is the lone ability place participant in San Francisco who has but to hit his prime (Deebo Samuel is a superb performer and at present in his prime), and he has already been glorious. The ascension is simply starting for a man who has top-10 extensive receiver expertise. He additionally occurs to be a fantastic match with Purdy.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: Simply 24.5% of Purdy’s passing yards got here from YAC … which was the bottom amongst Week 1 beginning quarterbacks. That is notable contemplating we usually affiliate Shanahan’s offenses as models that prop up unhealthy quarterback effectivity with YAC performs. That is what makes Purdy totally different from these guys. Purdy is able to improvisational performs and can move up the checkdowns to push the ball downfield. He’s extra gunslinger than sport supervisor. That overlaps effectively with Aiyuk, whom he clearly trusts with no second guess as a downfield goal.
Don’t be shocked if: It goes both approach for Puka Nacua. There was a ton of steam on the rookie since his 15-target debut, and I’ve contributed to it because I love the player’s ability, however this can be a case the place fantasy centrism is smart. If Nacua comes out quietly towards a troublesome 49ers protection — particularly now that he popped up as a late injury-report addition — you’re not allowed to be shocked. It additionally doesn’t imply he was a Week 1 fluke.
Each issues may be true; please hold your scorching takes holstered.
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS AT BUFFALO BILLS
Most people wouldn’t have had the Raiders being the 1-0 staff coming into this matchup.
Josh Allen had a meltdown, a mistake-fueled efficiency in Week 1. He wore it, took the blame and is trying to transfer on in Week 2. For all the nice popping out of the Raiders’ Week 1 win, there are nonetheless a ton of questions on this protection, which ranked twenty fifth in dropback success price allowed final week. It’s as much as Allen to play inside himself and never needlessly enter chaos mode.
The Raiders’ offense was surprisingly environment friendly in Week 1 underneath Jimmy Garoppolo. They is perhaps heading right into a little bit of a harder take a look at towards the Payments’ move protection, however Buffalo did quit a number of massive runs Monday. Las Vegas’ greatest likelihood to maintain this one shut is to place the ball in Josh Jacobs’ fingers over and over.
Non-obvious gamers I like
James Prepare dinner, RB, Buffalo Payments. Prepare dinner performed on greater than 60% of snaps and logged 54.5% of the staff’s rush makes an attempt with a 14.6% goal share. That’s the mark of a again you play each week.
Gabe Davis, WR, Buffalo Payments. Look, Gabe is who he’s. He’s going to have some tough showings when he’s not merely working as a vertical risk. Nonetheless, this kind of matchup, on which the Payments are a heavy-home favourite towards a lesser secondary, is the appropriate second to chase his massive performs.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: Josh Allen led the NFL (by loads) with 28 dropbacks out of 12 personnel. Daniel Jones was second with 12. Whether or not or not it really works long-term, the Payments are dedicated to creating this their base personnel grouping. That makes Dalton Kincaid a near-every-week beginning consideration at tight finish. I don’t count on him to hold a 1.3-yard aDOT each week.
Don’t be shocked if: There is no such thing as a reply for the Raiders right here now that Jakobi Meyers has been dominated out. Meyers was completely cooking earlier than leaving the sport following a scary hit towards Denver. Each Meyers and Davante Adams drew 43.8% of the Raiders’ first-read targets. They could possibly be the subsequent funnel offense that flows by means of two wideouts as a result of Meyers is that good of a large receiver. With him lacking this sport, I’ll control Hunter Renfrow, however he’s merely not the identical caliber of participant.
GREEN BAY PACKERS AT ATLANTA FALCONS
The Packers dismantled the Bears in Week 1, which ought to come as no shock, however it’s important to come away from this sense good about Jordon Love’s prospects. The Packers have been No. 1 in EPA per dropback in Week 1. Love performed a clear sport, however man, Matt LaFleur was in his bag on this sport. Not having to share the management of this offense with Aaron Rodgers, LaFleur let his flag fly and threw a ton of various and misleading ideas on the Bears. It is a good ecosystem for Like to develop up in.
The Falcons are bizarre. We knew this was going to be the case and that this offense can be run-heavy. I nonetheless imagine the 26 rush makes an attempt to 18 passes ratio received’t be fairly so skewed every week. Keep in mind that the Panthers turned the ball over and shortened the sphere for Atlanta a number of occasions in Week 1. These varieties of cases will at all times make an offensive end result look outdoors the norm.
At the least, right here’s to hoping that is the case. For now, you have to temper optimism for the mega-talented Drake London, particularly in a non-ideal matchup, however his time will come.
Non-obvious gamers I like
A.J. Dillon, RB, Inexperienced Bay Packers. All proper, let’s name this “I form of like.” Aaron Jones will miss this week with a hamstring harm. Dillon just isn’t even near a direct alternative for the dynamic Jones, however he’ll be in line for extra work if Jones misses the sport. You may chase the fantasy factors right here.
Luke Musgrave, TE, Inexperienced Bay Packers. Musgrave was second amongst tight ends in yards in Week 1 and ran a route on 70% of the dropbacks.
Tyler Allgeier, RB, Atlanta Falcons. Once more, I don’t count on the operating backs to get 34 touches on a weekly foundation, however Allgeier is a darn good participant and can proceed to carry a task on this backfield.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: The Falcons have been twelfth in defensive success price in Week 1. I’m unsure how a lot of this result’s a mirage because of a toothless Panthers offense or if the additions Atlanta made this offseason have revamped a unit that has been depressing for years. With the best way LaFleur was pitching warmth on Sunday, I believe this will likely be a high quality take a look at.
Don’t be shocked if: Jayden Reed pops on this sport. Reed acquired a bit banged up midgame final week however nonetheless led the staff in air yards with 93. He’s the first pre-snap movement possibility with Christian Watson on the shelf, and that gives him massive play probabilities. I really like this man’s ability set.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS AT TENNESSEE TITANS
The Chargers’ protection allow them to down in Week 1, however they’ll face a a lot lighter problem in Week 2 with the Titans. Ryan Tannehill had a downright nightmare sport amid waves of strain behind a dysfunctional offensive line, however he additionally solely accomplished 52.2% of his passes when stored clear (per PFF).
This Titans offense might circle the drain rapidly and will have a hobbled DeAndre Hopkins this week as he offers with an ankle harm.
The Chargers’ offense didn’t throw the ball on the clip that many have been anticipating in Week 1, however their high two receivers are nonetheless in play each week. The Titans have been shredded by Derek Carr, Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed in Week 1. Now they’ll take care of Justin Herbert.
Non-obvious gamers I like
Chig Okonkwo, TE, Tennessee Titans. Like-adjacent on this one, however Okonkwo ran a route on greater than 70% of the dropbacks in Week 1. He’s a full-time participant who’s getting downfield seems. He might turn out to be extra concerned with Hopkins lower than 100%, as might second-year receiver Treylon Burks.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: The Chargers in Week 1 had a top-10 speeding offense success price of the previous decade, per Ben Solak of The Ringer. Kellen Moore’s addition was instantly felt within the floor sport. They ran the ball extraordinarily effectively and can proceed to take action. Regardless of fantasy of us’ obsession with the passing sport, this was the realm of the offense that wanted essentially the most work. Wanting good to date.
Don’t be shocked if: Even earlier than Austin Ekeler was dominated out with an ankle harm, I used to be anticipating Joshua Kelley to have an enormous position on this sport.
Why? As a result of Ekeler himself is on the lookout for that complement:
NEW YORK JETS AT DALLAS COWBOYS
I really feel for Jets followers and all who have been enthused about this offense. The panorama is simply dramatically totally different with Zach Wilson on the helm. Garrett Wilson is a unstable WR2, and that’s simply the way it’s going to be for a man you took contained in the top-20 picks, until one thing modifications with Zach Wilson.
It doesn’t seem like any enchancment is coming primarily based on his Week 1 displaying.
It’s exhausting to take a lot away from how the Cowboys offense will function this season, contemplating they didn’t should do a lot to contribute to a dominant win over the Giants in Week 1. That protection goes to hang-out opposing quarterbacks all season.
Non-obvious gamers I like
Jake Ferguson, TE, Dallas Cowboys. With Brandin Cooks coping with a sprained MCL and anticipated to sit down, another pass-catchers will step up. I’m an enormous Michael Gallup fan and like him this week, however throwing into the enamel of that Jets secondary may not be the transfer. Ferguson acquired loads of alternative in Week 1, which is about all you possibly can ask for at tight finish.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: The Jets have been second in speeding EPA in Week 1.
Don’t be shocked if: Tony Pollard nonetheless will get residence regardless of the robust matchup. One factor we do find out about Dallas’ offense is the affirmation that Tony Pollard is a high-end RB1 in fantasy soccer after he ran effectively in a optimistic sport script and acquired the goal-line work. Pollard’s anticipated fantasy factors primarily based on his position (per Fantasy Factors Information) trailed solely Austin Ekeler in Week 1.
MIAMI DOLPHINS AT NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
This AFC East matchup will likely be fascinating. We all know what we’re getting out of the Dolphins offense. Tua Tagovailoa was one among, if not the perfect, quarterback performers in Week 1. This will likely be a harder take a look at towards New England, however we’re not dialing again expectations for the Miami passing sport at this stage. Tua’s superpower is his capability to do away with the ball rapidly and nonetheless push it downfield, which alleviates strain. In line with Subsequent Gen Stats, amongst QBs who performed Sunday, Tua had the fifth-fastest time to throw however essentially the most air yards per completion.
The New England protection did play effectively, as anticipated, towards the Eagles in Week 1. It was their offense that was a bit extra shocking. Having Invoice O’Brien because the grownup within the room actually made a distinction from the bounce.
Non-obvious gamers I like
Hunter Henry, TE, New England Patriots. Henry ran effectively forward of Mike Gesicki (33 routes to 19), and this was to be anticipated after camp stories. He led all tight ends with a paltry 56 yards, however he’s in play each week with this kind of utilization.
Kendrick Bourne, WR, New England Patriots. Bourne scored twice on his 11 targets in Week 1, and I liked his ability to beat man coverage. The vibes around JuJu Smith-Schuster are certifiably awful right now, so different pass-catchers might want to step up. Kayshon Boutte is extra prone to lose enjoying time if DeVante Parker returns to the X-receiver spot.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: Mac Jones led the NFL with 58 dropbacks in Week 1, so seven gamers had four-plus targets. Jones was unfairly maligned for a catastrophe second season that was ruined by unserious teaching. He could be a high-level distributor in an assault like this, however I’m unsure I purchase New England being this pass-heavy each week. We’ll know much more about how we worth these sleeper pass-catchers and the operating again receiving roles after this matchup.
Don’t be shocked if: Jaylen Waddle has an enormous sport. Waddle is not going to have the identical goal share as Braxton Berrios and River Cracraft on a weekly foundation. Invoice Belichick will definitely try to put the squeeze on Hill and attempt to cease Tua from attending to his third learn. I’m pounding the Waddle overs within the prop streets for this matchup.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS AT CAROLINA PANTHERS
I’m unsure how I really feel in regards to the Saints total, however I’m loving what I noticed out of their passing sport for fantasy soccer in Week 1. Chris Olave had a implausible position, as he moved round pre-snap and was focused on 33% of his routes. They acquired him extra layup seems than final 12 months, and Derek Carr pushed him the ball downfield. Olave could be a top-10 receiver this season, and the complementary gamers round him within the receiving hierarchy are underrated.
I don’t have the identical good vibes across the Panthers’ passing sport. Bryce Younger went 2-of-12 for 23 yards with a pair of picks on throws of 10-plus yards Sunday. This offense simply has no juice down the sphere.
Non-obvious gamers I like
Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints. We all know he’s a long-term well being query, however he’s right here for now. Thomas ran a route on 84% of the dropbacks and garnered a 24% goal share with one end-zone look. I like him towards a Panthers secondary that’ll be lacking Jaycee Horn after he landed on IR.
Miles Sanders, RB, Carolina Panthers. Sanders performed on 58.3% of the staff snaps, doubled-up Chuba Hubbard in carries and, most significantly, held a 13.2% goal share. So long as these Carolina wideouts are usually not separating downfield, Sanders goes to proceed to get catches.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: Derek Carr led the NFL with 27.3% of his move makes an attempt touring 10-plus yards. If Carr continues enjoying like this, we’re going to get a fantastic season out of Olave and a ton of the ancillary guys in New Orleans, primarily Rashid Shaheed.
Shaheed can flat-out play. He shouldn’t be on waivers.
Don’t be shocked if: Jamaal Williams finds the tip zone regardless of one other inefficient day. Williams acquired the ball at an absurd price in Week 1 as a result of there have been merely no different choices. He didn’t do a lot towards Tennessee’s elite protection, but when the Saints maintain a lead towards Carolina, he’ll have one other heavy workload and sure discover higher speeding lanes.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS AT HOUSTON TEXANS
I bumped this one out of the “skip” part it held throughout the podcast model of this column. There are too many gamers I like on each side. Each rookie quarterbacks exceeded expectations in Week 1, even when the stats don’t completely present it. C.J. Stroud particularly regarded snug and performed off-script higher than many thought he would on the highway in a troublesome Baltimore matchup. His play truly made me fairly inspired for Dameon Pierce, whom I think bounces back in a big way this week.
Non-obvious gamers I like
Nico Collins, WR, Houston Texans. One other participant I’m feeling higher about after watching Stroud in Week 1. Collins drew 11 targets and ranked third in air yards amongst all Week 1 pass-catchers. He’s participant who can win at X-receiver towards a weak secondary.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: Anthony Richardson had the eighth-most dropbacks in Week 1. The Colts aren’t simply going to be the run-heavy offense as a result of they’ve plan for Richardson in place and belief him to execute the offense. Richardson turns into a close to every-week begin at quarterback with this unit, however the underrated Michael Pittman quietly might be the biggest Week 1 winner at receiver.
Don’t be shocked if: Zack Moss takes over this Colts backfield. The Colts’ operating backs have been a catastrophe spot in Week 1. Moss gave them a good run final season, and he’s a strong (however not particular) participant within the league. He may’ve gotten ignored on a heavy waiver-wire week throughout fantasy leagues. Test for him previous to Sunday you probably have the area.
CHICAGO BEARS AT TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
The Bucs acquired an upset win in Week 1, whereas the Bears may lead the league in unhealthy emotions at this level. The protection was hideous, and the offense was nothing in need of a clown present. If you have not handled your self to J.T. O’Sullivan’s breakdown of the Bears’ offense — or what he calls a “dumpster fireplace spectacular” in Week 1 on his The QB College YouTube channel — simply do it. Perhaps seize a drink for the proceedings in case you’re a Bears fan.
Once more, shoutout to the Bucs for a Week 1 win, however I’m nonetheless fairly cautious about trusting many members of this Baker Mayfield-led unit. It is a nice matchup towards the Bears, nevertheless, so we’ll decide our spots.
Non-obvious gamers I like
Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Evans led Bucs receivers with a 26.5% share of the targets in comparison with Chris Godwin’s 17.6%. The extra troubling half was Godwin’s 5.8 aDOT. He’s going to wish a ton of quantity to get residence on that kind of utilization, which I don’t count on to return on this model of the assault. I don’t hate Godwin this week as a result of the Bears can’t rush the passer a lick, however in case you want a unstable WR3, I’d take a look at Evans to doubtlessly hit massive.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: Justin Fields’ 3.5 aDOT ranked thirty fourth amongst Week 1 quarterbacks. There was actually nothing encouraging in regards to the Bears’ offense, however essentially the most troubling a part of the affair was Fields turning down open downfield throws. He was once a real big-game hunter at quarterback, however now he’s needlessly hitting operating again checkdowns. If that continues, it’ll be good for Roschon Johnson’s garbage-time fantasy manufacturing — as such, I wrestle to purchase into it — and downright horrible for the Bears offense.
Don’t be shocked if: Judgment is forged on Rachaad White after Week 2. White performed on 79.4% of the Buccaneers snaps and ran a route on 53% of dropbacks. That’s elite running-back utilization, however he did subsequent to nothing with it … and that was towards a Vikings protection that D’Andre Swift and the Eagles obliterated on Thursday Night time Soccer on the bottom. If White can’t make it occur towards the Bears, I’ll be left questioning if he ever will.
CLEVELAND BROWNS AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS
The Steelers will likely be banished to the “skip” part till additional discover. I knew the 49ers protection would make it robust for them in Week 1, however that was an inexcusable outing from the passing sport. Kenny Pickett had a pitiful 3.4 YPA and threw two picks whereas not underneath strain Sunday. Now he’s with out his greatest extensive receiver in Diontae Johnson and has his tight finish banged up. Nightmare.
The Browns’ offense was predictably led by Nick Chubb, and whereas Deshaun Watson’s pocket presence and ball placement are nonetheless trying problematic, I’d wish to see him in a clean-weather sport.
Non-obvious gamers I like
Elijah Moore, WR, Cleveland Browns. Moore acquired precisely the position we hoped for in Week 1. He garnered 24% of the air yards, ran 80% of the routes and was second on the staff in first-read targets to Amari Cooper (22.7%). With Cooper questionable after aggravating a groin harm in Saturday’s follow, I believe Moore formally will get rolling in his breakout sport for the Browns.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: Allen Robinson was tied for the lead in routes run and had essentially the most targets and receiving yards after Diontae Johnson left in Week 1:
With out Diontae Johnson on the sphere in Week 1:
28 — George Pickens
28 — Allen Robinson
24 — Calvin Austin
5 — ARob
4 — Calvin
3 — Pickens simply doin his factor
53 — ARob
31 — Calvin
17 — Pickens
— Jacob Gibbs (@jagibbs_23) September 12, 2023
I’d slightly not get enthusiastic about any of those receivers, however a minimum of we all know what the roles seem like. George Pickens continues to run largely low-percentage routes and is primarily a jump-ball service provider. He’s going to be super-volatile with this utilization. Allen Robinson is a pleasant match as an enormous slot and will catch a ton of beneath passes from Pickett. Calvin Austin is an explosive separator outdoors. They may want him to interrupt out, and I like him as a deep stash for video games Johnson misses.
Don’t be shocked if: We’re speaking in regards to the Browns as a protection to concern after this week. Early-season video games present us time to regulate expectations, and after Week 1, I’m pondering the Cleveland protection underneath Jim Schwartz goes to be one of many breakout models of 2023. They’ve an opportunity to make an announcement by demolishing the Steelers in a nationally televised sport.
NEW YORK GIANTS AT ARIZONA CARDINALS
If the Giants are going to be offense in 2023, we’ll know after this week. My take is that they ran right into a buzzsaw in Week 1 towards the Dallas Cowboys, and lots of different offenses will fall on that sword all through the season. I’d flip again to Darren Waller and Daniel Jones as fantasy starters this week.
Non-obvious gamers I like
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: The Arizona Cardinals have been thirteenth in defensive success price in Week 1. How a lot of that was Sam Howell enjoying with an excessive amount of chaos in his second profession sport, and the way a lot of it was Jonathan Gannon teaching up an under-manned unit? How Daniel Jones performs will inform us loads.
Don’t be shocked if: We nonetheless don’t have readability on the Giants’ receivers after this week. Parris Campbell led the staff with a 70% route participation as the first slot final week.
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS AT DENVER BRONCOS
I used to be disillusioned with Sam Howell in his first begin of the season, however I’m keen to offer it time. There are just too many good gamers round him to not a minimum of get some good video games in alongside the best way.
The 2023 Denver Broncos regarded loads just like the 2022 model. There’s little readability within the operating again room, and the receivers are banged-up and as middling as ever. Even proficient rookie Marvin Mims is enjoying behind depth items. This entire unit is an keep away from for now, although it seems like Jerry Jeudy will swimsuit up this week and will provide a much-needed increase.
Non-obvious gamers I like
Jahan Dotson, WR, Washington Commanders. Dotson regarded implausible on movie in Week 1 and was carving up defensive backs, even when Howell didn’t give him probabilities. I like him to bounce again this week. The Broncos’ second cornerback was toasted in Week 1 by Jakobi Meyers whereas Patrick Surtain tracked Davante Adams across the area.
STAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: Sam Howell was underneath strain for 16 of 39 dropbacks and accomplished 5 of 10 passes with a 5.9 YPA, one TD to at least one INT in Week 1. This was the realm that bothered Howell most, particularly when he invited strain within the pocket onto himself. If he eliminates the ball on time, he ought to be capable to take pleasure in a clear sport towards Denver. The Broncos’ 6.9% strain price ranked lifeless final in Week 1.
Don’t be shocked if: Brian Robinson pushes all others apart within the backfield. Robinson had 14.8 anticipated fantasy factors in Week 1, per Fantasy Factors — nobody else had greater than three. He ran simply 4 fewer routes than Antonio Gibson and dealt with virtually 70% of the staff’s rush makes an attempt.