There’s one sport that actually jumps out on the NFL Week 7 oddsboard: The Kansas City Chiefs journey to fulfill the San Francisco 49ers in a rematch of Tremendous Bowl LVIII.
No query, that matchup might be closely guess. However because the weekend approaches, a extra intriguing development is creating on the second-biggest contest: the Detroit Lions vs. the Minnesota Vikings.
“That is shaping as much as be a Professionals vs. Joes matchup. The general public actually likes the Lions, and the sharps just like the Vikings,” Caesars Sports activities head of soccer buying and selling Joey Feazel stated.
To see how each video games unfold, you gained’t even have to alter the channel, as Lions-Vikings/Chiefs-49ers make up the FOX NFL doubleheader.
Oddsmakers and sharp bettors serve up their insights on these two clashes and a handful of different video games, as we dive into NFL Week 7 betting nuggets.
NFL Rocks On FOX
Within the 1 p.m. ET window on Sunday, the Lions-Vikings sport leads the best way. Minnesota is atop the league each on the sector and vs. the purpose unfold, at 5-0 straight up (SU) and in opposition to the unfold (ATS). Detroit is 4-1 SU and ATS, coming off a 47-9 blasting of the Dallas Cowboys on the street.
Oh, and in case you want reminding: Because the center of the 2022 NFL season, no crew is best at beating the unfold than the Lions. Detroit has been as shut as potential to an ATM for bettors, going 27-8 ATS and a nearly-as-good 26-9 SU in its final 35 video games.
So it makes excellent sense that the general public betting plenty are on Jared Goff & Co.
“We’ve seen the road transfer towards the Vikings, however the cash is coming in on the Lions,” Feazel stated Wednesday afternoon.
Caesars opened Lions-Vikings at Minnesota -1.5 and acquired to -2.5 by Tuesday morning. Nonetheless, by Wednesday night, the Vikes fell again to -1.5, maybe one other indicator of sharp bettors taking the Lions and the factors.
At 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday, it’s Chiefs-49ers, with San Fran hoping to actual some revenge for a 25-22 additional time loss within the Tremendous Bowl. The Niners (3-3 SU and ATS) have been both 1- or 1.5-point favorites all week and stood at -1 (-115) on Wednesday night time. Kansas Metropolis is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS.
“This has been on every crew’s calendar for the reason that schedule got here out, a circled sport,” Feazel stated. “Motion-wise, we’re seeing extra Chiefs cash, and notably Chiefs and Over cash.
“However there’s not loads of motion. I’m undecided if bettors see an edge on both aspect.”
Ought to the undefeated Chiefs be underdogs in opposition to the 49ers?
NFL Sharp Aspect
Skilled bettor Randy McKay lastly hit a velocity bump within the NFL in Week 6, going 0-3 after a 7-1 run. As famous earlier this week, public bettors had a monster Week 6, so it stands to purpose that the sharp guys acquired beat up a bit.
McKay is concerned with three video games this week. He’s main off with the Miami Dolphins +4 vs. the Indianapolis Colts. McKay acquired that quantity proper out of the gate on Sunday night, and the Dolphins at the moment are right down to +3.
However he’d nonetheless suggest Dolphins +3.5 if you will get it.
“The Dolphins are off a much-needed bye to get extra [practice] reps for backup QB Tyler Huntley. I additionally like the truth that Anthony Richardson is taking part in for the Colts, as a substitute of Joe Flacco,” McKay stated.
Richardson, therapeutic up from an indirect damage, is anticipated to return for Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET kickoff.
McKay’s different performs this week:
- Philadelphia Eagles -3 vs. Giants: “Philly is getting extra wholesome, whereas the Giants are banged up after Monday Evening Soccer,” McKay stated, particularly noting New York left sort out Andrew Thomas, who is completed for the season with a foot damage. “This provides Philly an enormous edge within the trenches, and this can be a quick quantity.” Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET Sunday
- Los Angeles Chargers -2 vs. Arizona Cardinals: “I really feel this sport must be Chargers -3 or greater. So, one other small, road-favorite spot right here. It’s one other sport the place the Chargers ought to win the inside battle on each side. The Chargers contained Patrick Mahomes three weeks in the past and can want to take action vs. Kyler Murray, who is perhaps with out rookie vast receiver Marvin Harrison Jr.” Kickoff is at 9 p.m. ET Monday.
NFL Fast Hitters
Feazel additionally had ideas on two extra video games within the NFL Week 7 odds market:
- Houston Texans vs. Green Bay Packers: The Packers opened -2.5 and rapidly went to -3 (even) Sunday night time. Midweek, it’s Packers -2.5 (-120). “The Texans are in loads of shut video games,” Feazel stated, noting Houston has seen 4 one-score finals this season, and gained all 4, by the best way. “I believe we’ll see two-way motion on this sport however a bit of extra on the Packers’ aspect.” Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET Sunday.
- Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Ravens opened -4.5 at Caesars, went to -4 on Sunday night time, then -3.5 on Monday morning. “Sort of the sharper aspect and the underrated aspect is the Bucs,” Feazel stated, noting skilled bettors took Tampa +4.5 and +4. “Bettors are actually liking the Over. Each groups scored 30 factors or extra of their final three video games.” Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET Monday.
How harmful are the Ravens after their 4-2 begin and Week 6 win?
I Like Huge Bets and I Can’t Lie
There aren’t any reported six-figure performs but in NFL Week 7 odds. However belief me, they’re coming. Two notable wagers at Caesars Sports activities:
- $26,100 Packers moneyline -145 vs. Texans. So if Inexperienced Bay simply wins, no matter margin, the bettor income $18,000 (complete payout $44,100).
- $24,000 Dolphins +3.5 (-120) vs. Colts. Bettor income $20,000 if Miami covers (complete payout $44,000).
We’ll wrap it up with a pair stinging leftovers from NFL Week 6 odds:
- $300,000 Jets +2 at BetMGM’s Borgata sportsbook in Atlantic Metropolis.
- $110,000 Jets +2.5 at Caesars Sports activities.
New York misplaced to Buffalo 23-20, failing to cowl the unfold within the course of. If I’d made a Jets guess at a fraction of those quantities, I’d be just like the Tiger King: “I’m by no means gonna financially get better from this.”
Which serves as a very good reminder to maintain your wagering affordable. By no means guess greater than you’ll be able to afford to lose.
Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He’s a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting area. He’s based mostly in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys {golfing} in 110-degree warmth. Comply with him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.
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